Easy-Going-Browser
0xf9e1a97ed5cb0e55a48803d754e27d04cadce46f
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
17
Open notional
$363.42
Total PnL
$93.36
Realised
$62.88
Win rate
50%
6 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 17- YES
Will Russia target Kyiv by July 31, 2026?
144 shares @ 43.5¢·now 72.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$104.63
$41.86
- NO
Metamask FDV above $100M one day after launch?
100 shares @ 61.2¢·now 87.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$86.96
$25.74
- YES
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?
61 shares @ 54.0¢·now 85.5¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$52.50
$19.34
- NO
Will a coin launched in 2026 end the year in the top 50?
160 shares @ 18.0¢·now 26.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$41.60
$12.80
- NO
Relay FDV above $100M one day after launch?
61 shares @ 39.6¢·now 54.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$33.16
$9.04
- YES
Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026?
100 shares @ 22.0¢·now 15.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$15.50
$-6.50
- NO
Over 4 coins launched in 2026 end the year in the top 100?
38 shares @ 20.0¢·now 25.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$9.45
$1.89
- YES
Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026?
40 shares @ 28.0¢·now 17.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$7.00
$-4.20
- NO
Will The Odyssey get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards?
30 shares @ 44.0¢·now 20.5¢·exp Feb 28, 2027$6.15
$-7.05
- NO
Will Revolut launch a USD stablecoin in 2026?
5 shares @ 44.0¢·now 49.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$2.48
$0.27
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Russia target Kyiv by July 31, 2026?$45.00Jul 29, 13:25 UTC
- MERGEWill JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$750.00Jul 29, 08:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia target Kyiv by July 31, 2026?$17.77Jul 29, 07:41 UTC
- YIELD$0.07Jul 29, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.06Jul 28, 00:10 UTC
- TRADESELLMetamask FDV above $700M one day after launch?$9.96Jul 27, 09:16 UTC
- TRADESELLMetamask FDV above $700M one day after launch?$4.64Jul 27, 09:16 UTC
- TRADESELLMetamask FDV above $700M one day after launch?$4.64Jul 27, 09:12 UTC
- TRADESELLMetamask FDV above $700M one day after launch?$4.64Jul 27, 09:09 UTC
- TRADESELLMetamask FDV above $700M one day after launch?$4.64Jul 27, 09:06 UTC
- TRADESELLMetamask FDV above $700M one day after launch?$5.04Jul 27, 09:02 UTC
- TRADESELLMetamask FDV above $700M one day after launch?$5.91Jul 27, 08:58 UTC
- TRADESELLMetamask FDV above $700M one day after launch?$6.97Jul 27, 08:55 UTC
- SPLITWill JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$750.00Jul 27, 02:43 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 26, 00:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill LeBron sign his next NBA contract by July 24, 2026?$34.64Jul 25, 05:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill LeBron sign his next NBA contract by July 24, 2026?$33.95Jul 25, 04:44 UTC
- MERGEWill JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$750.00Jul 25, 04:31 UTC
- YIELD$0.07Jul 25, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.07Jul 24, 00:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
25/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
50% win rate over 6 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
22 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 57/100.
6 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 22
- Avg trade size
- $15.61
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 7, 02:26 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 13:25 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.