0xf9ea4ce30e4e0e2db5b8152ea7004b24e5507b04
0xf9ea4ce30e4e0e2db5b8152ea7004b24e5507b04
Wallet digest
Activity score
90/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
74
Open notional
$1.5K
Total PnL
$1.48
Realised
$0.20
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 74- NO
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?
1215 shares @ 53.8¢·now 53.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$650.13
$-3.59
- NO
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?
482 shares @ 64.5¢·now 69.5¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$335.27
$23.90
- OVER
France vs. Iraq: France O/U 1.5
61 shares @ 84.0¢·now 83.5¢·exp Jun 22, 2026$51.00
$-0.31
- OVER
New Zealand vs. Egypt: Egypt O/U 0.5
61 shares @ 84.0¢·now 83.5¢·exp Jun 22, 2026$51.00
$-0.31
- OVER
Argentina vs. Austria: O/U 1.5
68 shares @ 75.0¢·now 74.5¢·exp Jun 22, 2026$50.97
$-0.34
- OVER
New Zealand vs. Egypt: O/U 1.5
69 shares @ 73.0¢·now 72.5¢·exp Jun 22, 2026$49.97
$-0.34
- YES
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?
70 shares @ 71.0¢·now 70.5¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$49.65
$-0.35
- YES
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
46 shares @ 69.7¢·now 73.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$33.76
$1.76
- NO
US strike on Cuba by December 31?
59 shares @ 54.1¢·now 52.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$30.79
$-0.97
- YES
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
176 shares @ 11.4¢·now 12.6¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$22.06
$2.06
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill United States win on 2026-06-25?$11.16Jun 22, 00:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYArgentina vs. Austria: Argentina 1st Half O/U 0.5$11.88Jun 22, 00:51 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 22, 00:17 UTC
- REDEEMBelgium vs. IR Iran: Belgium O/U 0.5$0.00Jun 21, 23:15 UTC
- REDEEMBelgium vs. IR Iran: O/U 1.5$0.00Jun 21, 23:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYFrance vs. Iraq: France O/U 1.5$51.81Jun 21, 22:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYArgentina vs. Austria: O/U 1.5$51.95Jun 21, 22:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYNew Zealand vs. Egypt: Egypt O/U 0.5$51.81Jun 21, 22:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYNew Zealand vs. Egypt: O/U 1.5$50.97Jun 21, 22:48 UTC
- TRADESELLUruguay vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 1.5$70.99Jun 21, 22:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYUruguay vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 1.5$50.70Jun 21, 21:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?$50.68Jun 21, 21:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBelgium vs. IR Iran: Belgium O/U 0.5$102.85Jun 21, 17:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBelgium vs. IR Iran: O/U 1.5$103.18Jun 21, 17:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$5.15Jun 21, 17:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Erling Haaland be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$5.16Jun 21, 17:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$5.15Jun 21, 17:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$5.14Jun 21, 17:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?$0.00Jun 21, 17:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill Vance shake hands with an Iranian official by June 20?$10.20Jun 21, 17:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 2 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
29 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 64/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 29
- Avg trade size
- $41.85
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 19, 08:05 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 22, 00:58 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.