Orange-Skullduggery
0xf9fe14515b96c418ef5c9f6bb835ea74e0d4d54e
Wallet digest
Activity score
98/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
21
Open notional
$566.64
Total PnL
$-17.42
Realised
$28.95
Win rate
75%
8 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 21- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
259 shares @ 89.6¢·now 90.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$234.12
$2.27
- YES
Will Vitality win IEM Cologne Major 2026?
100 shares @ 45.0¢·now 38.5¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$38.50
$-6.50
- YES
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?
130 shares @ 24.9¢·now 26.5¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$34.45
$2.05
- NO
Will Valve remove Ancient from the Map Pool?
36 shares @ 95.0¢·now 94.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$34.02
$-0.18
- NO
Will Valve remove Inferno from the Map Pool?
32 shares @ 95.0¢·now 95.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$30.56
$0.16
- NO
Will Valve remove Mirage from the Map Pool?
30 shares @ 94.0¢·now 98.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$29.40
$1.20
- YES
Will Sarah Knafo win the 2027 French presidential election?
1292 shares @ 2.4¢·now 1.8¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$23.90
$-7.54
- YES
Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
30 shares @ 72.0¢·now 72.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$21.75
$0.15
- NO
Will a team from LEC (Europe / EMEA) win LoL Worlds 2026?
20 shares @ 89.4¢·now 94.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$18.97
$1.09
- YES
Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election?
860 shares @ 4.4¢·now 2.1¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$17.63
$-20.56
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Valve remove Dust 2 from the Map Pool?$2.72Jun 13, 06:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?$18.00Jun 11, 02:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a team from LCP (Asia-Pacific) win LoL Worlds 2026?$0.01Jun 9, 10:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a team from LCP (Asia-Pacific) win LoL Worlds 2026?$0.01Jun 9, 09:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a team from LCP (Asia-Pacific) win LoL Worlds 2026?$0.03Jun 9, 08:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Valve remove Dust 2 from the Map Pool?$0.03Jun 7, 11:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Valve remove Dust 2 from the Map Pool?$0.04Jun 7, 11:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a team from LCP (Asia-Pacific) win LoL Worlds 2026?$0.50Jun 5, 15:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a team from LCP (Asia-Pacific) win LoL Worlds 2026?$0.02Jun 4, 02:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a team from LCP (Asia-Pacific) win LoL Worlds 2026?$0.03Jun 4, 01:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a team from LCP (Asia-Pacific) win LoL Worlds 2026?$0.03Jun 3, 17:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a team from LCP (Asia-Pacific) win LoL Worlds 2026?$0.02Jun 3, 17:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a team from LCP (Asia-Pacific) win LoL Worlds 2026?$0.05Jun 3, 17:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a team from LCP (Asia-Pacific) win LoL Worlds 2026?$0.01Jun 3, 17:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a team from LCP (Asia-Pacific) win LoL Worlds 2026?$0.04Jun 3, 16:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a team from LCP (Asia-Pacific) win LoL Worlds 2026?$0.02Jun 3, 16:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a team from LCP (Asia-Pacific) win LoL Worlds 2026?$0.01Jun 3, 16:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a team from LCP (Asia-Pacific) win LoL Worlds 2026?$0.03Jun 3, 16:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a team from LCP (Asia-Pacific) win LoL Worlds 2026?$0.04Jun 3, 14:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a team from LCP (Asia-Pacific) win LoL Worlds 2026?$0.03Jun 3, 14:56 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $4.52
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 19, 16:48 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 06:05 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 8 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.