Grateful-Horn
0xfa5323da365a1239dbdfa3565a0010f1283803e2
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
18
Open notional
$24.46
Total PnL
$-3.77
Realised
$-0.15
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 18- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
28 shares @ 17.3¢·now 17.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$4.84
$-0.01
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?
316 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.9¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$3.01
$-0.04
- YES
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
2 shares @ 83.4¢·now 92.2¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.21
$0.21
- NO
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
2 shares @ 83.7¢·now 86.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$2.05
$0.05
- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
2 shares @ 53.0¢·now 99.6¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$1.88
$0.88
- YES
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?
2 shares @ 88.0¢·now 87.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.73
$-0.01
- YES
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?
31 shares @ 7.8¢·now 5.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$1.72
$-0.73
- YES
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
25 shares @ 4.0¢·now 4.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$1.14
$0.14
- NO
New Virginia congressional map used in the midterms?
1 shares @ 90.0¢·now 97.0¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$1.08
$0.08
- NO
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?
1 shares @ 92.0¢·now 94.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$1.03
$0.03
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET$1.04Jun 16, 10:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on June 16?$1.06Jun 16, 05:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - June 16, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET$1.03Jun 16, 03:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.00Jun 15, 09:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET$1.02Jun 15, 08:56 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET$1.92Jun 15, 08:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET$1.03Jun 15, 08:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET$1.03Jun 15, 08:48 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET$1.32Jun 15, 08:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET$1.07Jun 15, 08:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET$1.02Jun 15, 08:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$0.12Jun 15, 03:22 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - June 11, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET$0.00Jun 15, 01:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11?$0.00Jun 15, 01:53 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET$0.00Jun 15, 01:53 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down - June 11, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET$7.08Jun 12, 03:01 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - June 11, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET$7.81Jun 12, 03:00 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - June 11, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET$6.41Jun 12, 02:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - June 11, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET$5.08Jun 12, 02:45 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down - June 11, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET$7.65Jun 12, 02:45 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 27
- Avg trade size
- $2.43
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 9, 07:07 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 16, 10:25 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.