Glaring-Bricklaying
0xfabc48f08755a6d1d07788512d11248946457f75
Activity score
61/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
50
Open notional
$27.21
Total PnL
$-44.24
Realised
$-0.16
Win rate
40%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 50- YES
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?
23 shares @ 22.0¢·now 26.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$6.02
$1.02
- YES
Will Databricks’ market cap be $250B or greater at market close on IPO day?
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 3.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$3.45
$2.45
- YES
Will the U.S. invade Colombia in 2026?
63 shares @ 8.0¢·now 5.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.13
$-1.88
- YES
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
40 shares @ 10.0¢·now 7.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.99
$-1.00
- YES
US strike on Mexico by December 31?
17 shares @ 30.0¢·now 12.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.08
$-2.92
- YES
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Switzerland before 2027?
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 1.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.95
$0.95
- YES
Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?
24 shares @ 10.3¢·now 7.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.67
$-0.80
- YES
US Treasury transactions on blockchain by June 30?
5 shares @ 15.0¢·now 26.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.39
$0.59
- YES
Will Ahmed al-Sharaa win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.9¢·exp Oct 10, 2026$0.90
$-0.10
- YES
Will Databricks’ market cap be between $100B and $125B at market close on IPO day?
10 shares @ 1.0¢·now 5.2¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.52
$0.42
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYMavericks vs. Bucks$4.0045d ago
- TRADEBUYSpread: Bucks (-2.5)$5.0045d ago
- TRADEBUYWill China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?$1.0045d ago
- TRADEBUYWill China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?$1.0045d ago
- TRADEBUYWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$4.0045d ago
- REDEEMSpread: Grizzlies (-3.5)$6.3345d ago
- REDEEMSpread: Grizzlies (-4.5)$103.1545d ago
- TRADESELLUS strike on Cuba by March 31?$4.2046d ago
- TRADEBUYWill North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?$2.4750d ago
- TRADESELLWill Barcelona score the most goals in 2025-26 UEFA Champions League?$1.5350d ago
- TRADESELLWill the Washington Capitals win the Eastern Conference?$0.9450d ago
- TRADEBUYUS strike on Mexico by March 31?$3.3050d ago
- TRADESELLWill Brandon Miller win the 2025–2026 NBA Most Improved Player?$0.5050d ago
- TRADESELLWill St. John's win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?$0.5350d ago
- TRADESELLWill the Charlotte Hornets win the 2026 NBA Finals?$0.9050d ago
- TRADESELLWill Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.9050d ago
- TRADEBUYUS strike on Mexico by December 31?$5.0050d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Colombia in 2026?$5.0050d ago
- TRADESELLWill Royal Challengers Bengaluru win the 2026 Indian Premier League?$6.6250d ago
- TRADESELLWill Luka Doncic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?$1.2050d ago
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $1.83
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 51d ago
- Last active
- 45d ago
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".