Forked-Chive
0xfadeac30d08d0910835c6871bdfd141cef3368cf
Wallet digest
Activity score
61/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
41
Open notional
$415.28
Total PnL
$-2.5K
Realised
$-11.65
Win rate
33%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 41- NO
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
836 shares @ 16.0¢·now 17.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$146.30
$12.54
- NO
No one announced as next James Bond?
954 shares @ 36.5¢·now 13.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$123.97
$-224.40
- YES
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
1574 shares @ 1.6¢·now 6.5¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$101.52
$76.34
- YES
Will Al Carns be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
1336 shares @ 1.3¢·now 2.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$26.72
$9.26
- YES
Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
297 shares @ 8.3¢·now 3.4¢·exp Dec 6, 2026$9.95
$-14.66
- YES
Will Microsoft acquire TikTok?
314 shares @ 3.9¢·now 0.6¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.88
$-10.45
- YES
Will Meta acquire TikTok?
189 shares @ 3.7¢·now 0.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.60
$-5.35
- NO
Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026?
2 shares @ 16.0¢·now 70.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$1.41
$1.09
- YES
Will Elon Musk / X (Twitter) acquire TikTok?
108 shares @ 2.6¢·now 0.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.97
$-1.84
- YES
Will Freecs win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?
473 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.95
$-3.31
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.02Jun 13, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 12, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 11, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 10, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 9, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 8, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 7, 00:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election$112.00Jun 6, 01:36 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 6, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 5, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 4, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 3, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jun 2, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jun 1, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.03May 31, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.03May 30, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.03May 29, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.03May 28, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.03May 27, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.03May 26, 00:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 5
- Avg trade size
- $1.07
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 1, 00:13 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 00:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.