Bustling-Data
0xfb461c16ef90a513e1412f1d53c1021ece14f68b
Activity score
79/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
114
Open notional
$3.9K
Total PnL
$-4.2K
Realised
$206.35
Win rate
61%
18 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 114- NO
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
614 shares @ 70.5¢·now 74.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$457.46
$24.46
- NO
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
452 shares @ 66.3¢·now 69.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$314.29
$14.29
- NO
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?
357 shares @ 70.0¢·now 85.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$305.36
$55.36
- NO
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
257 shares @ 77.8¢·now 86.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$220.98
$20.98
- NO
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?
249 shares @ 74.6¢·now 84.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$210.62
$24.62
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
242 shares @ 62.0¢·now 81.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$197.16
$47.15
- NO
US strike on Mexico by December 31?
220 shares @ 66.0¢·now 86.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$188.94
$43.94
- NO
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
212 shares @ 85.0¢·now 84.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$178.94
$-1.06
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?
356 shares @ 49.1¢·now 49.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$176.36
$1.36
- NO
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?
172 shares @ 87.0¢·now 86.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$149.14
$-0.86
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 31?$48.913h ago
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 31?$1.043h ago
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 31?$1.044h ago
- YIELD$0.044h ago
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$20.005h ago
- REDEEMTrump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?$120.015h ago
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?$150.005h ago
- TRADESELLWill any country leave NATO by June 30, 2026?$71.5319h ago
- TRADESELLWill any country leave NATO by June 30, 2026?$143.1722h ago
- YIELD$0.061d ago
- TRADEBUYWill another country leave OPEC in 2026?$66.001d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Kostyantynivka by May 31?$6.471d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Kostyantynivka by May 31?$5.861d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Kostyantynivka by May 31?$4.101d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Kostyantynivka by May 31?$2.561d ago
- TRADESELLUkraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by June 30, 2026?$80.301d ago
- TRADEBUYTrump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?$30.001d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump publicly insult J.D. Vance by May 31, 2026?$28.202d ago
- TRADEBUYClavicular pregnancy in 2026?$12.582d ago
- YIELD$0.042d ago
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $51.37
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 4d ago
- Last active
- 3h ago
- Win rate sample
- 18 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".