Intentional-Census

• ANTHROPIC

  Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?

  291 shares @ 67.0¢·now 73.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2027

  $213.88

  $18.91

• NO

  Will Eric Swalwell advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?

  48 shares @ 42.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 2, 2026

  $48.00

  $27.58

• NO

  Will Yoo Jeong-bok win the 2026 Incheon mayoral election?

  18 shares @ 84.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 3, 2026

  $18.00

  $2.88

• YES

  Rippling IPO before 2027?

  55 shares @ 39.0¢·now 17.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026

  $9.63

  $-11.82

• YES

  Mahmoud Abbas out as Palestinian President by June 30?

  86 shares @ 11.0¢·now 7.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026

  $6.05

  $-3.41

• NO

  Named storm forms before hurricane season?

  3 shares @ 58.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026

  $3.00

  $1.26

• NO

  U.S. Embassy in Damascus reopened by June 30, 2026?

  3 shares @ 82.0¢·now 98.2¢·exp Jun 30, 2026

  $2.94

  $0.48

• NO

  Will Israel strike 4 countries in 2026?

  4 shares @ 90.0¢·now 57.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026

  $2.47

  $-1.42

• YES

  Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

  4 shares @ 32.0¢·now 14.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026

  $0.58

  $-0.70

• YES

  Will there be between 11 and 13 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?

  1 shares @ 31.0¢·now 30.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026

  $0.30

  $-0.00

• TRADESELLWill any country expel an Israeli ambassador by December 31?$778.96Apr 27, 08:58 UTC
• TRADESELLWill any country expel an Israeli ambassador by December 31?$4.48Apr 27, 08:57 UTC
• TRADESELLWill any country expel an Israeli ambassador by December 31?$4.48Apr 27, 08:55 UTC
• TRADESELLWill any country expel an Israeli ambassador by December 31?$4.48Apr 27, 08:54 UTC
• TRADESELLWill any country expel an Israeli ambassador by December 31?$4.48Apr 27, 08:52 UTC
• TRADESELLWill any country expel an Israeli ambassador by December 31?$4.48Apr 27, 08:51 UTC
• TRADESELLWill any country expel an Israeli ambassador by December 31?$3.36Apr 27, 08:50 UTC
• TRADESELLWill New England Revolution vs. Houston Dynamo end in a draw?$183.60Apr 27, 08:03 UTC
• TRADESELLWill New England Revolution vs. Houston Dynamo end in a draw?$228.40Apr 27, 07:57 UTC
• TRADEBUYWill any country expel an Israeli ambassador by December 31?$790.35Apr 24, 03:22 UTC
• TRADESELLWill Yoo Jeong-bok win the 2026 Incheon mayoral election?$15.44Apr 21, 05:01 UTC
• TRADESELLUS-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?$15.68Apr 21, 04:48 UTC
• TRADESELLNamed storm forms before hurricane season?$471.24Apr 21, 04:04 UTC
• TRADESELLAndy Jassy out as Amazon CEO before 2027?$157.47Apr 21, 03:56 UTC
• TRADESELLAndy Jassy out as Amazon CEO before 2027?$385.41Apr 21, 03:54 UTC
• TRADEBUYUS-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?$28.91Apr 13, 18:25 UTC
• TRADEBUYNamed storm forms before hurricane season?$403.68Apr 13, 18:07 UTC
• REDEEMWill Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31?$0.55Apr 13, 04:32 UTC
• REDEEMWill Elon Musk be richest person on March 31?$1.00Apr 13, 04:32 UTC
• REDEEMWill Hezbollah disarm by March 31?$409.00Apr 13, 04:32 UTC

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