Intentional-Census
0xfb977646809f56b05b7137e5436c000934e6b54d
Quality score
74/100
Open positions
49
Open notional
$1.7K
Total PnL
$-2.6K
Realised
$150.70
Win rate
47%
19 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 49- NO
Will any country expel an Israeli ambassador by December 31?
1437 shares @ 55.0¢·now 54.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$783.16
$-7.18
- NO
Will New England Revolution vs. Houston Dynamo end in a draw?
1030 shares @ 86.0¢·now 62.0¢·exp Mar 7, 2026$638.60
$-247.20
- ANTHROPIC
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?
291 shares @ 67.0¢·now 65.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$190.60
$-4.37
- NO
Will Eric Swalwell advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?
48 shares @ 42.5¢·now 99.6¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$47.81
$27.39
- NO
Will Yoo Jeong-bok win the 2026 Incheon mayoral election?
18 shares @ 84.0¢·now 96.0¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$17.27
$2.15
- YES
Mahmoud Abbas out as Palestinian President by June 30?
86 shares @ 11.0¢·now 17.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$15.05
$5.59
- YES
Rippling IPO before 2027?
55 shares @ 39.0¢·now 12.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$6.60
$-14.85
- NO
Will Israel strike 4 countries in 2026?
4 shares @ 90.0¢·now 73.6¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.18
$-0.71
- NO
U.S. Embassy in Damascus reopened by June 30, 2026?
3 shares @ 82.0¢·now 92.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.77
$0.31
- NO
Named storm forms before hurricane season?
3 shares @ 58.0¢·now 81.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$2.44
$0.70
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill any country expel an Israeli ambassador by December 31?$790.351d ago
- TRADESELLWill Yoo Jeong-bok win the 2026 Incheon mayoral election?$15.444d ago
- TRADESELLUS-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?$15.684d ago
- TRADESELLNamed storm forms before hurricane season?$471.244d ago
- TRADESELLAndy Jassy out as Amazon CEO before 2027?$157.474d ago
- TRADESELLAndy Jassy out as Amazon CEO before 2027?$385.414d ago
- TRADEBUYUS-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?$28.9111d ago
- TRADEBUYNamed storm forms before hurricane season?$403.6811d ago
- REDEEMWill Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31?$0.5512d ago
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk be richest person on March 31?$1.0012d ago
- REDEEMWill Hezbollah disarm by March 31?$409.0012d ago
- REDEEMWill 'BULLY' - Ye debut week album sales be less than 300k?$730.0012d ago
- TRADESELLWill Ostium launch a token by December 31, 2026?$50.3712d ago
- TRADESELLWill there be between 14 and 16 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?$289.8113d ago
- TRADESELLWill there be between 14 and 16 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?$690.5813d ago
- TRADESELLWill there be between 14 and 16 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?$14.6013d ago
- TRADESELLWill there be between 14 and 16 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?$29.5213d ago
- TRADESELLChina x India military clash by December 31, 2026?$98.2813d ago
- TRADEBUYWill there be between 14 and 16 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?$1.0K13d ago
- TRADEBUYAndy Jassy out as Amazon CEO before 2027?$542.8813d ago
Score breakdown
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $363.97
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 26d ago
- Last active
- 1d ago
Score is a 0–100 composite of open position size, breadth (number of trades), realised + unrealised ROI, win rate on closed markets, and category specialisation.