Rich-Back
0xfbde5e1baab61f6c52e8c63be7e4831724682b4e
Wallet digest
Activity score
51/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
16
Open notional
$0.14
Total PnL
$-106.14
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 16- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
40 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.4¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.14
$-0.86
- NO
Will Trump visit China by May 15?
3000 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-30.00
- YES
Trump out as President by April 30?
2000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Will Portugal win Eurovision 2026?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Meituan have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
1970 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-4.29
- YES
Will Austria win Eurovision 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET
600 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
- YES
Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
354 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in April?
345 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?
333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 21, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$5.00May 22, 23:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?$4.84May 22, 23:42 UTC
- TRADESELLIran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?$4.13May 22, 23:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?$3.75May 22, 23:42 UTC
- TRADESELLHantavirus pandemic in 2026?$1.36May 22, 23:42 UTC
- TRADESELLJimmy Kimmel fired/resigns by May 31?$0.34May 22, 23:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?$1.17May 22, 23:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May?$1.24May 22, 23:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?$2.40May 22, 23:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?$8.10May 21, 15:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$5.00May 16, 02:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYHantavirus pandemic in 2026?$2.09May 16, 02:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Portugal win Eurovision 2026?$2.10May 11, 06:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Austria win Eurovision 2026?$2.10May 11, 06:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?$5.00May 11, 05:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?$15.52May 11, 05:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May?$5.18May 11, 05:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?$5.19May 11, 05:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?$5.00May 11, 05:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump visit China by May 15?$31.19May 11, 05:54 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $5.19
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 30, 10:13 UTC
- Last active
- May 22, 23:43 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.