Insignificant-Hatred
0xfc404d785423d89fd862f6b3f2fc4bcb556756a3
Wallet digest
Activity score
96/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$4.1K
Total PnL
$415.89
Realised
$-18.07
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
5kt meteor strike in 2026?
1600 shares @ 59.0¢·now 74.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.2K
$239.63
- NO
Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026?
1619 shares @ 61.9¢·now 71.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.1K
$146.84
- YES
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026?
917 shares @ 59.7¢·now 66.5¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$609.76
$62.53
- YES
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?
732 shares @ 84.1¢·now 75.7¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$554.19
$-61.17
- YES
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?
380 shares @ 66.0¢·now 67.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$256.50
$5.70
- NO
U.S. Embassy in Damascus reopened by December 31, 2026?
351 shares @ 60.0¢·now 71.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$249.28
$38.62
- NO
US strike on Cuba by December 31?
100 shares @ 64.0¢·now 69.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$69.49
$5.49
- NO
Will an artwork sell for $150 million by December 31?
110 shares @ 58.9¢·now 57.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$63.14
$-1.55
- YES
Will Taylor Swift release an album in 2026?
18 shares @ 61.5¢·now 48.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$8.40
$-2.36
- NO
Will USD/JPY hit 150 (Low) in 2026?
3 shares @ 69.0¢·now 76.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.47
$0.24
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?$619.27Jul 29, 05:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?$995.84Jul 29, 04:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026?$148.75Jul 28, 22:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?$161.56Jul 28, 04:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?$93.57Jul 27, 14:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026?$75.41Jul 27, 01:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026?$69.57Jul 24, 04:43 UTC
- REWARD$1.34Jul 23, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill any AI model reach 1580 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026?$69.16Jul 22, 13:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026?$2.54Jul 22, 10:50 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$1.14Jul 22, 00:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026?$325.00Jul 21, 10:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYU.S. Embassy in Damascus reopened by December 31, 2026?$15.00Jul 20, 15:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026?$5.30Jul 19, 11:13 UTC
- REWARD$1.10Jul 18, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?$13.49Jul 17, 22:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYU.S. Embassy in Damascus reopened by December 31, 2026?$48.59Jul 17, 18:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?$58.24Jul 17, 17:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?$17.82Jul 17, 16:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?$93.28Jul 17, 14:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 2 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
40 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 64/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $110.40
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 11, 12:31 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 05:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.