Vague-Nurture
0xfcb3d684328cdbd1a66298285cda5d2e82bb0c71
Activity score
81/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$73.68
Total PnL
$-3.03
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
70 shares @ 81.8¢·now 80.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$56.35
$-0.95
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?
20 shares @ 47.0¢·now 57.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$11.50
$2.10
- NO
5kt meteor strike in 2026?
7 shares @ 59.0¢·now 71.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.00
$0.88
- YES
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?
20 shares @ 8.0¢·now 3.5¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$0.70
$-0.90
- YES
Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $375 Week of May 4 2026?
1 shares @ 30.0¢·now 9.0¢·exp May 8, 2026$0.13
$-0.30
- NO
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in May?
30 shares @ 4.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.26
- NO
Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on April 30?
5 shares @ 52.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-2.60
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $375 Week of May 4 2026?$0.431d ago
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in London be 17°C on May 5?$8.991d ago
- TRADESELLWill Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?$50.021d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 17°C on May 5?$5.112d ago
- REDEEMWill Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $155 in April?$19.806d ago
- TRADESELLWill Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.00 in April?$5.417d ago
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?$1.607d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 19°C on April 30?$2.667d ago
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in May?$1.317d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?$9.4010d ago
- TRADESELLIran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz in April?$10.2014d ago
- TRADESELLWill Bryan Johnson have sex again this month?$6.0014d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?$15.8017d ago
- TRADEBUYIran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz in April?$6.5019d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Bryan Johnson have sex again this month?$6.8019d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $155 in April?$14.9222d ago
- REDEEMCoinbase (COIN) Up or Down on April 13?$0.0022d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.00 in April?$4.5922d ago
- TRADEBUYIran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz in April?$1.0022d ago
- TRADEBUYCoinbase (COIN) Up or Down on April 13?$7.6024d ago
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $9.49
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 35d ago
- Last active
- 1d ago
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".
