Political-Eveningwear
0xfcb5fe789d062e7f203142d2be7778db452868bc
Wallet digest
Activity score
53/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
36
Open notional
$7.57
Total PnL
$-52.7K
Realised
$-6.1K
Win rate
33%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 36- YES
Will Freddie Mac’s market cap be $300B or greater at market close on IPO day?
1120 shares @ 28.6¢·now 0.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$5.60
$-314.40
- YES
Will Freddie Mac’s market cap be less than $150B at market close on IPO day?
844 shares @ 11.8¢·now 0.2¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.69
$-98.31
- YES
Will Fannie Mae’s market cap be $400B or greater at market close on IPO day?
187 shares @ 48.2¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.28
$-89.72
- YES
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?
137372 shares @ 15.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-21.0K
- YES
Starmer out by April 30, 2026?
33325 shares @ 6.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-2.2K
- YES
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T?
20464 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$0.00
$-1.6K
- YES
Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?
18269 shares @ 20.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-3.8K
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET
11089 shares @ 10.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 18, 2026$0.00
$-1.2K
- YES
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3.2T?
10883 shares @ 5.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$0.00
$-619.99
- OVER
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5
9414 shares @ 61.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-5.7K
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3.6T?$259.00Jun 11, 18:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3.2T?$124.47Jun 11, 18:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T?$1.0KJun 11, 18:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX’s opening share price on its first day of trading be at least $250?$31.09Jun 11, 18:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $4T?$5.95Jun 11, 17:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T?$663.02Jun 11, 17:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3.2T?$518.91Jun 11, 17:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX’s opening share price on its first day of trading be at least $250?$20.76Jun 11, 17:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpaceX IPO: Will Elon Musk Ring the Bell?$101.74Jun 11, 17:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX’s closing share price on its first day of trading be at least $250?$10.34Jun 11, 17:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX’s closing share price on its first day of trading be at least $250?$0.49Jun 11, 16:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX’s closing share price on its first day of trading be at least $250?$2.02Jun 11, 16:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX’s closing share price on its first day of trading be at least $250?$6.62Jun 11, 16:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX’s closing share price on its first day of trading be at least $250?$1.40Jun 11, 16:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX’s closing share price on its first day of trading be at least $250?$0.21Jun 11, 16:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX’s closing share price on its first day of trading be at least $250?$0.89Jun 11, 16:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX’s closing share price on its first day of trading be at least $250?$0.70Jun 11, 16:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX’s closing share price on its first day of trading be at least $250?$0.70Jun 11, 16:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX’s closing share price on its first day of trading be at least $250?$0.92Jun 11, 16:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET$25.93May 18, 11:23 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $89.18
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 18, 10:23 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 11, 18:47 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.