Winding-Witchhunt
0xfd31f4a0d77c2d06397a21966cbfb9e9c38a4f6d
Wallet digest
Activity score
78/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
16
Open notional
$1.2K
Total PnL
$68.29
Realised
$1.38
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 16- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?
170 shares @ 61.0¢·now 92.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$157.25
$53.55
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026?
140 shares @ 76.0¢·now 94.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$132.30
$25.90
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026?
125 shares @ 82.0¢·now 95.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$119.38
$16.88
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026?
120 shares @ 90.0¢·now 97.4¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$116.82
$8.82
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $15,000 by December 31, 2026?
120 shares @ 94.6¢·now 97.3¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$116.70
$3.18
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 by December 31, 2026?
120 shares @ 94.0¢·now 97.2¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$116.58
$3.78
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $25,000 by December 31, 2026?
120 shares @ 92.0¢·now 96.9¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$116.22
$5.82
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026?
120 shares @ 87.0¢·now 96.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$115.74
$11.34
- NO
Will Türkiye vs. Paraguay end in a draw?
103 shares @ 72.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 20, 2026$103.00
$28.84
- NO
Will Scotland vs. Morocco end in a draw?
101 shares @ 73.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 19, 2026$100.97
$27.26
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.09Aug 17, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.09Aug 16, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.09Aug 15, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.09Aug 14, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.09Aug 13, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.09Aug 12, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.09Aug 11, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.09Aug 10, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.09Aug 9, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.09Aug 8, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.09Aug 7, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.09Aug 6, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.09Aug 5, 02:34 UTC
- YIELD$0.09Aug 4, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.09Aug 3, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.09Aug 2, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.09Aug 1, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.09Jul 31, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.09Jul 30, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.09Jul 29, 00:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 2 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
No live wallet activity or persistent ledger trades are available.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 29, 00:13 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 17, 00:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.