Hopeful-Homogenate
0xfeaa24ac5ad3757272ad3fb9843cac4b9538f976
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
28
Open notional
$107.11
Total PnL
$-226.27
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 28- NO
Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $220 Week of July 6 2026?
107 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 10, 2026$107.11
$0.11
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on March 9?
895 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 9, 2026$0.00
$-1.79
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on March 9?
895 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 9, 2026$0.00
$-1.79
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?
780 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 13, 2026$0.00
$-1.56
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on March 9?
758 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 9, 2026$0.00
$-2.63
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on March 24?
725 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 24, 2026$0.00
$-1.45
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on March 27?
723 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 27, 2026$0.00
$-2.17
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on March 13?
715 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 13, 2026$0.00
$-1.43
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on March 13?
677 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 13, 2026$0.00
$-2.71
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on March 3?
630 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 3, 2026$0.00
$-2.52
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $220 Week of July 6 2026?$107.00Jul 10, 09:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill Brazil win on 2026-07-05?$7.08Jul 10, 08:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brazil win on 2026-07-05?$3.45Jul 3, 11:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (HIGH) $7.00 in June?$99.10Jul 3, 11:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (HIGH) $7.00 in June?$99.00Jun 30, 07:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $725 Week of June 1 2026?$104.18Jun 30, 07:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $725 Week of June 1 2026?$103.98Jun 5, 13:13 UTC
- REDEEMKnicks vs. Spurs$8.89Jun 5, 13:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill Yang Seung-jo win the 2026 Chungcheongnam Province gubernatorial election?$14.21Jun 5, 13:03 UTC
- REDEEMStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$59.01Jun 5, 13:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYKnicks vs. Spurs$3.26Jun 1, 08:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Jeddah be 28°C or below on May 30?$11.71Jun 1, 07:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$13.41Jun 1, 07:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$58.89May 31, 06:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYRoland Garros WTA: Marta Kostyuk vs Iga Swiatek$6.15May 31, 06:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 30?$65.05May 31, 06:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 30?$64.93May 30, 08:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Vladimir Putin win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?$63.91May 30, 08:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Vladimir Putin win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?$64.02May 30, 08:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpurs vs. Thunder$7.55May 30, 08:09 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $66.67
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 24, 06:58 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 10, 09:02 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.