Imperfect-Evaporation
0xfec94611472ca5b58c4441774af056e66c48b7c0
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$635.54
Total PnL
$-745.10
Realised
$188.64
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Axiom launch a token by December 31, 2026?
503 shares @ 75.0¢·now 85.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$430.06
$52.81
- ANTHROPIC
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?
196 shares @ 67.0¢·now 75.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$147.98
$16.66
- NO
New pandemic in 2026?
47 shares @ 88.0¢·now 88.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$41.59
$0.23
- YES
Will Ubisoft be acquired before 2027?
60 shares @ 40.0¢·now 26.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$15.90
$-8.10
- NO
Will "DtMF" be played last at the Super Bowl halftime show?
543 shares @ 87.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$0.00
$-472.41
- YES
Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 55% and 60%?
384 shares @ 65.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$0.00
$-250.75
- NO
Will Albin Kurti be the next Prime Minister of Kosovo?
313 shares @ 81.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 28, 2025$0.00
$-256.35
- NO
Will Train Dreams win Best Cinematography at the 41st Film Independent Spirit Awards?
132 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 15, 2026$0.00
$-15.84
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Iran strike Qatar by April 30, 2026?$23.84Apr 27, 09:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Iran strike Qatar by April 30, 2026?$17.60Apr 27, 09:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump’s approval rating fall to 38.5% in April?$51.10Apr 27, 09:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran strike Qatar by April 30, 2026?$98.42Apr 23, 13:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump’s approval rating fall to 38.5% in April?$105.30Apr 23, 13:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump’s approval rating fall to 38.5% in April?$106.20Apr 23, 13:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump’s approval rating fall to 38.5% in April?$18.45Apr 23, 13:17 UTC
- TRADESELLDeel IPO before 2027?$27.39Apr 21, 04:39 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026?$710.48Apr 11, 17:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026?$719.04Apr 11, 15:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Axiom launch a token by December 31, 2026?$377.25Apr 11, 13:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill a new country join the Abraham Accords by June 30?$137.25Apr 11, 06:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill a new country join the Abraham Accords by June 30?$137.75Apr 11, 06:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a new country join the Abraham Accords by June 30?$137.75Apr 10, 15:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a new country join the Abraham Accords by June 30?$137.25Apr 10, 15:53 UTC
- TRADESELLNew pandemic in 2026?$838.64Apr 9, 21:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SpaceX's market cap be between $1.8T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?$273.07Apr 9, 10:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's market cap be between $1.8T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?$266.49Apr 7, 09:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Iran successfully target shipping on March 29, 2026?$10.13Mar 31, 03:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Velichie (Velichie) win at least one seat in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election?$34.10Mar 30, 14:35 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $140.56
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 22, 13:31 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 27, 09:35 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.