0xff36fc6de4ccdd290c14ee69244c21c1803ad5b7
0xff36fc6de4ccdd290c14ee69244c21c1803ad5b7
Activity score
79/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
5
Open notional
$156.28
Total PnL
$-187.65
Realised
$-183.60
Win rate
67%
3 closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will there be between 11 and 13 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?
145 shares @ 24.5¢·now 27.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$39.98
$4.41
- NO
Will there be exactly 7 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?
44 shares @ 84.4¢·now 84.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$37.16
$0.00
- YES
Will there be 8 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?
44 shares @ 86.7¢·now 83.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$36.42
$-1.41
- NO
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 4 - 10?
59 shares @ 60.2¢·now 49.5¢·exp May 10, 2026$29.01
$-6.27
- YES
Will there be between 14 and 16 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?
49 shares @ 29.6¢·now 28.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$13.72
$-0.78
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from April 27 - May 3?$4.062h ago
- TRADESELLWill there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from April 27 - May 3?$1.003h ago
- TRADESELLWill there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from April 27 - May 3?$0.163h ago
- TRADEBUYWill there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from April 27 - May 3?$5.223h ago
- TRADESELLWill there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from April 27 - May 3?$34.8011h ago
- TRADESELLWill there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from April 27 - May 3?$0.2016h ago
- TRADESELLWill there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from April 27 - May 3?$0.4818h ago
- TRADEBUYWill there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from April 27 - May 3?$34.4819h ago
- TRADESELLWill there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from April 27 - May 3?$1.501d ago
- TRADEBUYWill there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from April 27 - May 3?$2.181d ago
- TRADESELLWill there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from April 27 - May 3?$12.011d ago
- TRADESELLWill there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from April 27 - May 3?$1.291d ago
- TRADEBUYWill there be exactly 7 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?$4.971d ago
- TRADESELLWill there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from April 27 - May 3?$3.661d ago
- TRADEBUYWill there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from April 27 - May 3?$6.401d ago
- TRADEBUYWill there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from April 27 - May 3?$5.292d ago
- TRADESELLWill there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from April 27 - May 3?$6.612d ago
- TRADESELLWill there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from April 27 - May 3?$8.402d ago
- TRADESELLWill there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from April 27 - May 3?$18.252d ago
- TRADESELLWill there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 4 - 10?$0.052d ago
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $8.17
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 2d ago
- Last active
- 2h ago
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".