0xff5ce023ac4188b0df2a5036bcff135458264bf5
0xff5ce023ac4188b0df2a5036bcff135458264bf5
Wallet digest
Activity score
91/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
129
Open notional
$2.6K
Total PnL
$23.83
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 129- NO
Will Morocco reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
365 shares @ 93.9¢·now 94.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$343.75
$0.55
- NO
Will Switzerland reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
264 shares @ 97.3¢·now 97.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$256.01
$-0.80
- NO
Will Egypt reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
196 shares @ 98.0¢·now 98.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$192.12
$-0.11
- NO
Will Mexico reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
154 shares @ 93.3¢·now 94.2¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$145.22
$1.31
- NO
Will USA reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
114 shares @ 94.5¢·now 94.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$107.40
$-0.28
- YES
Will Cape Verde be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?
106 shares @ 94.0¢·now 91.5¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$97.34
$-2.66
- NO
Will Switzerland reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
98 shares @ 79.7¢·now 71.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$69.52
$-8.48
- NO
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
71 shares @ 92.9¢·now 93.8¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$66.70
$0.63
- YES
Will France reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
63 shares @ 87.9¢·now 89.5¢·exp Jul 4, 2026$56.00
$1.00
- YES
Will England reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
89 shares @ 56.0¢·now 61.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$54.46
$4.46
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Algeria vs. Austria end in a draw?$10.64Jun 28, 04:54 UTC
- REDEEMAlgeria vs. Austria: O/U 3.5$0.00Jun 28, 04:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill Uzbekistan finish last in Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?$11.76Jun 28, 04:54 UTC
- REDEEMAlgeria vs. Austria: O/U 2.5$0.00Jun 28, 04:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill South Korea be eliminated in Group Stage stage of the World Cup?$23.87Jun 28, 04:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill South Korea reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$52.63Jun 28, 04:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill Argentina win on 2026-06-27?$58.82Jun 28, 04:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill Algeria win on 2026-06-27?$58.90Jun 28, 04:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill South Korea reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$114.69Jun 28, 04:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill Jordan win on 2026-06-27?$274.11Jun 28, 04:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Xi Jinping purge Wang Huning in 2026?$10.07Jun 28, 02:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Xi Jinping purge Wang Yi in 2026?$10.07Jun 28, 02:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Xi Jinping purge Cai Qi in 2026?$5.04Jun 28, 02:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYXi meets with Lee Jae-Myung by July 31?$5.05Jun 28, 02:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sweden reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$16.51Jun 28, 02:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bosnia and Herzegovina reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$66.54Jun 28, 02:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Egypt reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$44.47Jun 28, 02:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Canada reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$18.18Jun 28, 02:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Senegal reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$18.17Jun 28, 02:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Switzerland reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$18.23Jun 28, 02:04 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
33 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 57/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $47.57
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 28, 01:37 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 28, 04:54 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.