0xff7ca9cd180d33119e653e3eb50555a3e2ccb233
0xff7ca9cd180d33119e653e3eb50555a3e2ccb233
Wallet digest
Activity score
81/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$19.0K
Total PnL
$-10.2K
Realised
$3.8K
Win rate
66%
124 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- NO
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?
2928 shares @ 75.6¢·now 75.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.2K
$-17.81
- NO
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $15,000 by end of December?
1967 shares @ 95.7¢·now 97.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.9K
$34.55
- NO
Iran charges Hormuz fees by July 31?
1711 shares @ 96.8¢·now 96.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$1.6K
$-6.68
- NO
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $12,000 by end of December?
1230 shares @ 95.3¢·now 97.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.2K
$22.30
- YES
Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?
3528 shares @ 39.2¢·now 29.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$1.0K
$-358.93
- YES
Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026?
4190 shares @ 22.7¢·now 23.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$984.68
$31.78
- NO
Ukraine strikes another tanker in the Caspian Sea by July 31, 2026?
1076 shares @ 90.5¢·now 89.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$957.76
$-16.06
- NO
Will Hyperliquid dip to $20 by December 31, 2026?
943 shares @ 77.3¢·now 91.3¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$860.72
$132.00
- NO
Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be between $1.75T and $2.0T?
806 shares @ 81.2¢·now 88.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2027$713.00
$58.44
- NO
Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026?
865 shares @ 70.1¢·now 80.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$691.87
$85.62
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in July?$16.19Jul 28, 17:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran charges Hormuz fees by December 31?$19.62Jul 28, 17:50 UTC
- TRADESELLIran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?$437.28Jul 28, 17:49 UTC
- TRADESELLIran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?$1.40Jul 28, 17:39 UTC
- TRADESELLIran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?$2.80Jul 28, 17:39 UTC
- TRADESELLIran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?$11.20Jul 28, 17:38 UTC
- TRADESELLIran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?$0.85Jul 28, 17:38 UTC
- TRADESELLIran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?$2.24Jul 28, 17:38 UTC
- TRADESELLIran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?$5.60Jul 28, 17:38 UTC
- TRADESELLIran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?$22.40Jul 28, 17:38 UTC
- TRADESELLIran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?$1.22Jul 28, 17:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Houthis successfully target shipping on July 28, 2026?$3.60Jul 28, 17:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?$2.16Jul 28, 17:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill fewer than 200 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between July 27-August 2?$274.98Jul 28, 17:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be fewer than 25 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on July 31?$7.20Jul 28, 17:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Houthis successfully target shipping on July 28, 2026?$159.75Jul 28, 17:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?$2.16Jul 28, 17:11 UTC
- TRADESELLBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?$10.00Jul 28, 17:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?$72.72Jul 28, 17:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?$71.73Jul 28, 16:55 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
72/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
66% win rate over 124 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 38/100.
124 closed markets, 66% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $75.34
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 28, 14:06 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 28, 17:52 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 124 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.