Third-Colony
0xffbf6d63c6f6a1b2ad600ee932152a31f1400824
Wallet digest
Activity score
88/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$188.12
Total PnL
$-0.41
Realised
$0.03
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Sandy Spidel Neumann be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Kansas?
51 shares @ 96.7¢·now 95.7¢·exp Aug 4, 2026$48.81
$-0.51
- NO
Will OpenAI have the second best AI model at the end of June 2026?
48 shares @ 95.4¢·now 97.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$46.75
$0.96
- NO
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by June 30, 2026?
48 shares @ 96.2¢·now 96.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$46.10
$-0.07
- NO
Will Netanyahu be pardoned by June 30?
48 shares @ 96.3¢·now 94.6¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$45.41
$-0.82
- NO
Will Titan launch a token by June 30, 2026?
1 shares @ 98.5¢·now 98.3¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$1.05
$-0.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYPedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by June 30, 2026?$46.18Jun 9, 10:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the second best AI model at the end of June 2026?$45.79Jun 8, 14:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Netanyahu be pardoned by June 30?$46.22Jun 8, 05:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia capture all of Bilytske by June 30?$49.47Jun 3, 07:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by May 31, 2026?$48.22May 29, 10:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?$58.76May 29, 09:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by May 31, 2026?$10.00May 29, 09:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by May 31, 2026?$56.81May 26, 07:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by May 31, 2026?$1.07May 26, 07:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?$18.24May 26, 07:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?$37.34May 26, 07:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Titan launch a token by June 30, 2026?$9.86May 24, 15:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Titan launch a token by June 30, 2026?$19.72May 24, 15:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Titan launch a token by June 30, 2026?$1.05May 24, 12:19 UTC
- TRADESELLMamdani opens city-owned grocery store by June 30?$50.23May 23, 17:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Yuri Fulmer win the 2026 Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election?$3.88May 21, 08:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Yuri Fulmer win the 2026 Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election?$29.40May 21, 08:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Yuri Fulmer win the 2026 Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election?$8.81May 21, 08:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Titan launch a token by June 30, 2026?$29.55May 21, 00:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Yuri Fulmer win the 2026 Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election?$42.05May 20, 20:19 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $35.46
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Sep 3, 06:23 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 9, 10:58 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.