Vain-Pillbox
0xffff50f0ac08761684731603b97ae806566235be
Wallet digest
Activity score
76/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
10
Open notional
$93.98
Total PnL
$-715.70
Realised
$66.23
Win rate
67%
3 closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Tempo launch a token by September 30, 2026?
101 shares @ 29.0¢·now 91.2¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$92.11
$62.82
- YES
Will Scott Wiener receive the most votes in the CA-11 primary?
1 shares @ 44.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$1.00
$0.56
- NO
Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026?
1 shares @ 74.0¢·now 87.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.87
$0.13
- EVANSVILLE ACES
Southern Illinois Salukis vs. Evansville Aces
542 shares @ 80.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2026$0.00
$-433.60
- NO
Will Mojtaba Khamenei tweet again on March 18?
313 shares @ 67.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 21, 2026$0.00
$-209.71
- YES
Will Severance win Best Television Series – Drama at the 83rd Golden Globes?
287 shares @ 11.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 11, 2026$0.00
$-31.86
- YES
Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 55% and 60%?
201 shares @ 65.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$0.00
$-131.66
- YES
Up Only podcast released by February 28, 2026?
120 shares @ 16.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-19.20
- NO
Will NYC have between 3 and 4 inches of precipitation in December?
34 shares @ 44.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-15.13
- YES
Will LaMelo Ball be traded this season?
33 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 5, 2026$0.00
$-4.29
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy booster?$0.20Apr 27, 10:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill US Catanzaro 1929 vs. Modena FC 2018 end in a draw?$57.48Apr 11, 19:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill US Catanzaro 1929 vs. Modena FC 2018 end in a draw?$159.83Apr 11, 19:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill US Catanzaro 1929 vs. Modena FC 2018 end in a draw?$171.75Apr 11, 19:14 UTC
- TRADESELLAnduril Industries IPO before 2027?$56.79Apr 11, 06:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill US Catanzaro 1929 vs. Modena FC 2018 end in a draw?$482.30Apr 10, 14:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill CA Bucaramanga win on 2026-02-15?$57.00Apr 10, 10:26 UTC
- REDEEMXavier Musketeers vs. Clemson Tigers$426.00Apr 10, 10:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill CA Bucaramanga win on 2026-02-15?$38.76Apr 7, 14:16 UTC
- TRADESELLAnduril Industries IPO before 2027?$17.16Mar 30, 14:05 UTC
- TRADESELLAnduril Industries IPO before 2027?$22.10Mar 30, 14:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYAnduril Industries IPO before 2027?$35.37Mar 22, 15:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYAnduril Industries IPO before 2027?$175.77Mar 22, 15:51 UTC
- TRADESELLAnother US bank failure by March 31?$210.60Mar 21, 19:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYAnother US bank failure by March 31?$203.58Mar 20, 16:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Consensys IPO by September 30 2026?$34.50Mar 19, 05:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Consensys IPO by September 30 2026?$9.25Mar 19, 05:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Consensys IPO by September 30 2026?$9.75Mar 19, 05:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Khamenei tweet again on March 21, 2026?$69.92Mar 19, 05:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Czechia advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?$80.73Mar 18, 16:23 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $105.64
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 20, 02:48 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 27, 10:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.