Resolves in 3h — verify the source
Verify
Orrery — decision terminal for prediction markets
TOP ACTIONSWhat matters most right now.
Full research queue Verify the resolution source and event-cluster siblings
UMA disputed — verify before treating moves as new info
Verify
UMA disputed — verify before treating moves as new info
Verify
RESOLUTION RISK
Open watch High
High
High
High
High
High
High
High
High
High
High
High
Bordeaux: Alex Molcan vs Tallon GriekspoorUMA PENDING
High
High
High
High
Will Çaykur Rizespor win on 2026-05-17?UMA PENDING
High
Pistons vs. CavaliersEXPIRED
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Spurs vs. TimberwolvesEXPIRED
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Medium
Medium
Medium
Medium
Medium
Medium
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?PINNED NO
Medium
Showing 32 of 32 markets · refreshed nowHow risk is scored
RESEARCH QUEUE
Full research queue | Market | Score | Breakdown (Evidence / Liquidity / Spread / Res. Risk) | Next Step |
|---|---|---|---|
| 73 | 53/94 80/80 | Compare siblings |
Score = weighted composite of Evidence (40%), Liquidity (25%), Spread (20%), Resolution Confidence (15%).How we score markets
DAILY BRIEFMay 15, 2026
Read full brief - Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May? probability down 11.0pp on $0.2M of 24h volume.
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? shows a divergence pattern at 53% evidence — verify on the market.
- Counter-Strike: paiN vs GamerLegion (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Playoffs resolves in 3h — verify the source before treating as research.
IGNORE (0)
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WATCHLIST DELTA
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