Orrery — decision terminal for prediction markets
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Event date has passed while the market is still active upstream
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MARKET PULSE
Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral ElectionHIGH EVIDENCE
Selected: strongest momentum signalChart: 7D YES-token price history
Implied probability
20% 12.0pp
24h volume
$156.9K
Orrery Pulse30% current17-32% 7D range+13.0pp net move
100%75%50%25%0%
30%
May 1430%+13.0pp from start
May 13May 13May 13May 13May 13May 13May 13May 14
RESOLUTION RISK
Open watch Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-21?UMA PENDING
High
High
High
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Boston Red SoxUMA PENDING
High
Epstein suicide note released by May 8?UMA DISPUTED
High
High
High
High
High
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St. Louis Cardinals vs. AthleticsPAST EVENT
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Seattle Mariners vs. Houston AstrosPAST EVENT
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Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Texas RangersPAST EVENT
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San Diego Padres vs. Milwaukee BrewersPAST EVENT
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Kansas City Royals vs. Chicago White SoxPAST EVENT
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Miami Marlins vs. Minnesota TwinsPAST EVENT
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Chicago Cubs vs. Atlanta BravesPAST EVENT
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Detroit Tigers vs. New York MetsPAST EVENT
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Tampa Bay Rays vs. Toronto Blue JaysPAST EVENT
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Washington Nationals vs. Cincinnati RedsPAST EVENT
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Spread: Seattle Sounders FC (-1.5)PAST EVENT
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Spread: Pistons (-4.5)PAST EVENT
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Wild vs. AvalanchePAST EVENT
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Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 210.5PAST EVENT
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Will Inter Miami CF win on 2026-05-13?PAST EVENT
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Cavaliers vs. PistonsPAST EVENT
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Spread: Pistons (-3.5)PAST EVENT
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Showing 32 of 32 markets · refreshed nowHow risk is scored
RESEARCH QUEUE
Full opportunities | Market | Score | Breakdown (Evidence / Liquidity / Spread / Res. Risk) | Next Step |
|---|---|---|---|
| 90 | 93/86 98/80 | Inspect timeline | |
| 86 | 92/83 80/80 | Inspect timeline | |
| 76 | 67/86 80/80 | Inspect timeline | |
| 76 | 71/78 80/80 | Inspect timeline | |
| 69 | 51/82 80/80 | Compare siblings |
Score = weighted composite of Evidence (40%), Liquidity (25%), Spread (20%), Resolution Confidence (15%).How we score markets
DAILY BRIEFMay 14, 2026
Read full brief - Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election probability up 12.0pp on $0.2M of 24h volume.
- Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? shows a momentum pattern at 93% evidence — verify on the market.
- Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 14? resolves in 14h — verify the source before treating as research.
VERIFY (3)
IGNORE (0)
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WATCHLIST DELTA
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