High
Orrery — decision terminal for prediction markets
Today
5 things to verify
6 observations · 32 resolution risks
TOP ACTIONSWhat matters most right now.
Full research queue 1Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Momentum observation
Momentum
2Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?
UMA disputed — verify before treating moves as new info
Verify
3Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Andrey Rublev
Momentum observation
Momentum
4Miami Marlins vs. New York Mets
Momentum observation
Momentum
5Atlanta Braves vs. Cincinnati Reds
Momentum observation
Momentum
MARKET PULSE
Miami Marlins vs. New York MetsHIGH EVIDENCE
Selected: strongest momentum observationChart: 7D YES-token price history
Implied probability
16% 25.0pp
24h volume
$847.1K
Orrery Pulse0% current0-50% 7D range-48.4pp net move
68%51%34%17%0%
0%
May 310%-48.4pp from start
May 28May 29May 29May 30May 30May 30May 31May 31
HIGH-EVIDENCE OBSERVATIONS
All signals 1Open
Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Andrey RublevTop read
24h Δ 32.5pp, 1h Δ 20.5pp · Turnover 51.0× liquidity
2Open
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?
24h Δ 39.0pp, 1h Δ 0.1pp · Turnover 4.1× liquidity
5Open
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?
24h Δ -9.4pp, 1h Δ -0.4pp · Turnover 5.1× liquidity
6Open
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
24h Δ 3.1pp, 1h Δ 4.7pp · Turnover 11.9× liquidity
RESOLUTION RISK
Open watch High
High
High
LoL: Team Vitality vs GIANTX - Game 1 WinnerUMA PENDING
High
High
US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31?UMA DISPUTED
High
High
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?UMA DISPUTED
High
LoL: Team Vitality vs GIANTX - Game 3 WinnerUMA PENDING
High
Will Red Bull Bragantino win on 2026-05-31?UMA PENDING
High
LoL: Team Vitality vs GIANTX - Game 2 WinnerUMA PENDING
High
High
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?UMA DISPUTED
High
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?UMA DISPUTED
High
High
High
High
High
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?UMA DISPUTED
High
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Baltimore OriolesUMA PENDING
High
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Showing 32 of 32 markets · refreshed nowHow risk is scored
RESEARCH QUEUE
Full research queue | Market | Score | Breakdown (Evidence / Liquidity / Spread / Res. Risk) | Next Step |
|---|---|---|---|
| 92 | 95/91 98/80 | Inspect timeline | |
| 89 | 93/83 96/80 | Inspect timeline | |
| 88 | 95/86 80/80 | Inspect timeline | |
| 88 | 95/86 80/80 | Inspect timeline | |
| 82 | 95/81 60/80 | Inspect timeline |
Score = weighted composite of Evidence (40%), Liquidity (25%), Spread (20%), Resolution Confidence (15%).How we score markets
DAILY BRIEFMay 31, 2026
Read full brief - Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? probability up 39.0pp on $1.2M of 24h volume.
- Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Andrey Rublev shows a momentum pattern at 95% evidence — verify on the market.
VERIFY (3)
IGNORE (0)
- —
RISK INCREASED (0)
- No new resolution risks
WATCHLIST DELTA
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