Orrery — decision terminal for prediction markets

Today

5 things to verify

5 observations · 32 resolution risks

refreshed now
TOP ACTIONSWhat matters most right now.
Full research queue
MARKET PULSE
Total Kills Over/Under 26.5 in Game 3?LIVE
Selected: shared dashboard stateChart: 7D YES-token price history
Implied probability
50% 0.0pp
24h volume
$0
Orrery Pulse50% current50-50% 7D range+0.0pp net move
58%54%50%45%41%
50%
May 1950%+0.0pp from start
May 18May 18May 18May 18May 18May 18May 19May 19
View market
HIGH-EVIDENCE OBSERVATIONS
All signals
Open
Open
Open
Open
Open
How we score evidence
RESOLUTION RISK
Open watch
Showing 32 of 32 markets · refreshed nowHow risk is scored
RESEARCH QUEUE
Full research queue
Score = weighted composite of Evidence (40%), Liquidity (25%), Spread (20%), Resolution Confidence (15%).How we score markets
DAILY BRIEFMay 19, 2026
Read full brief
  • Will Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? probability up 12.5pp on $0.8M of 24h volume.
  • Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals? shows a momentum pattern at 93% evidence — verify on the market.
  • Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026? resolves in 13h — verify the source before treating as research.
VERIFY (3)
IGNORE (0)
  • —
RISK INCREASED (3)
Read full brief
WATCHLIST DELTA

Watchlist sits in your browser — we don't store it server-side. Add markets you want to track, then this panel shows the since-last-visit delta for each.

Set up watchlist

ORRERY PRO

Prediction-market intelligence terminal

Know what moved, why it matters, what can go wrong, and what to verify next. Built for humans, teams, and AI agents.

Start freeView pricingFor agents / API
Live Tape—

Tape quiet — no whales, signals, or 1h moves above the threshold in this window.