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OrreryPrediction-market intelligence · research only · not trade advice
Orrery is a verification-first intelligence terminal for prediction markets.
It helps analysts, journalists, research teams, and AI agents understand what moved, why it matters, what can go wrong, and what to verify next. Orrery is not a broker, not a market maker, and does not provide trade recommendations.
World Cup modeJun 11-Jul 19, 2026 · research only · not trade advice
World Cup markets move fast. Orrery verifies the move before you trust the price.
Top movers, matchday brief, not-settled checks, and alerts for screenshots that need source, liquidity, and settlement context.
Tracked
41
24h volume
$89.2M
Lead move
Quiet
Orrery verifies prediction-market movement before you trust the price
Today
5 things to verify
2 observations · 32 resolution risks
WHY THIS TARGET
Scoring M1
Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York Yankees: O/U 4.5
Ranked by evidence, liquidity, spread quality, resolution state, and whether related markets need comparison.
Source statusLIVEEvidence contextLIVEMarket movement1.0ppLiquidity$0Next checkVerify this market
EVIDENCE ACTIONS
All signals 1Watch only
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Queue proof
24h Δ 3.5pp, 1h Δ 1.0pp · Turnover 1.1× liquidity
RESOLUTION RISK
Open watch High
High
Iran closes its airspace by June 8?UMA DISPUTED
High
Iran closes its airspace by June 15?UMA DISPUTED
High
High
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?UMA DISPUTED
High
Cincinnati Reds vs. San Diego PadresPAST EVENT
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Medium
Medium
Medium
Showing 32 of 32 markets · refreshed nowHow risk is scored
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Live Tape quiet — Orrery is still monitoring signals, whale-size flow, 1h moves, source updates, and resolution-state transitions.
RESEARCH QUEUE
Full research queue | Market | Score | Breakdown (Evidence / Liquidity / Spread / Res. Risk) | Next Step |
|---|---|---|---|
| 71 | 61/89 60/80 | Inspect timeline | |
| 69 | 51/83 80/80 | Compare siblings |
Score = weighted composite of Evidence (40%), Liquidity (25%), Spread (20%), Resolution Confidence (15%).How we score markets
DAILY BRIEFJune 10, 2026
Read full brief - Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? probability up 3.5pp on $0.2M of 24h volume.
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? shows a momentum pattern at 61% evidence — verify on the market.
- Spurs vs. Knicks resolves in 19h — verify the source before treating as research.
VERIFY (2)
IGNORE (0)
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RISK INCREASED (3)
WATCHLIST DELTA
Watchlist sits in your browser — we don't store it server-side. Add markets you want to track, then this panel shows the since-last-visit delta for each.
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