Orrery — the verification layer for prediction markets
Today
5 things to verify
5 observations · 32 resolution risks
VERIFICATION QUEUERanked checks before you trust the price.
Full research queue ACTIVE VERIFICATION TARGET
M1Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Washington Nationals vs. Arizona DiamondbacksLIVE
Selected: shared dashboard stateChart: 7D YES-token price history
Implied probability
53% 0.0pp
24h volume
$0
Verification target52% current45-65% 7D range+1.5pp net move
68%61%55%48%41%
52%
Jun 652%+1.5pp from start
May 31Jun 1Jun 2Jun 2Jun 3Jun 4Jun 5Jun 6
WHY THIS IS #1
Scoring M1
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Washington Nationals vs. Arizona Diamondbacks
Ranked by evidence, liquidity, spread quality, resolution state, and whether related markets need comparison.
Source statusUMA DISPUTEDEvidence context95/100 evidenceMarket movement0.0ppLiquidity$0Next checkVerify the resolution source and event-cluster siblings
EVIDENCE ACTIONS
All signals 1Open
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?Queue proof
24h Δ -19.1pp, 1h Δ -20.4pp · Turnover 3.4× liquidity
2Open
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?
24h Δ 18.8pp, 1h Δ 19.6pp · Turnover 3.6× liquidity
5Open
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
24h Δ -6.0pp, 1h Δ -1.0pp · Turnover 2.2× liquidity
RESOLUTION RISK
Open watch Iran closes its airspace by June 30?UMA DISPUTED
High
Cleveland Guardians vs. Texas RangersUMA PENDING
High
High
Tyler: Andre Ilagan vs Yuta ShimizuUMA PENDING
High
High
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New York Mets vs. San Diego PadresPAST EVENT
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Phoenix Mercury vs. PortlandFirePAST EVENT
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Spread: PortlandFire (-2.5)PAST EVENT
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Knicks vs. SpursPAST EVENT
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Spread: Spurs (-6.5)PAST EVENT
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Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 217.5PAST EVENT
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Spread: Spurs (-7.5)PAST EVENT
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Spread: Spurs (-5.5)PAST EVENT
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Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 215.5PAST EVENT
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Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 214.5PAST EVENT
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Spread: Spurs (-4.5)PAST EVENT
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Cincinnati Reds vs. St. Louis CardinalsPAST EVENT
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Medium
Medium
Medium
Medium
Medium
Medium
Medium
Medium
Medium
Showing 32 of 32 markets · refreshed nowHow risk is scored
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Tape quiet — no large trades, signals, or 1h moves above the threshold in this window.
RESEARCH QUEUE
Full research queue | Market | Score | Breakdown (Evidence / Liquidity / Spread / Res. Risk) | Next Step |
|---|---|---|---|
| 91 | 95/87 94/80 | Inspect timeline | |
| 89 | 95/76 98/80 | Inspect timeline | |
| 88 | 95/77 94/80 | Inspect timeline | |
| 85 | 81/98 80/80 | Inspect timeline | |
| 81 | 95/89 46/80 | Inspect timeline |
Score = weighted composite of Evidence (40%), Liquidity (25%), Spread (20%), Resolution Confidence (15%).How we score markets
DAILY BRIEFJune 6, 2026
Read full brief - Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? probability down 19.1pp on $0.8M of 24h volume.
- Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? shows a momentum pattern at 95% evidence — verify on the market.
- LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs resolves in 12h — verify the source before treating as research.
VERIFY (3)
IGNORE (0)
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