US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31?UMA DISPUTED
High
Orrery — decision terminal for prediction markets
Today
5 things to verify
2 observations · 32 resolution risks
TOP ACTIONSWhat matters most right now.
Full research queue 1LoL: JD Gaming vs Top Esports (BO5) - LPL Playoffs
Resolves in 3h — verify the source
Verify
2US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31?
UMA disputed — verify before treating moves as new info
Verify
3Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in May?
Resolves in 16h — verify the source
Verify
4Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?
UMA disputed — verify before treating moves as new info
Verify
5Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Resolution-risk observation — settlement caveat
Verify
MARKET PULSE
Roland Garros WTA: Elina Svitolina vs Belinda BencicHIGH EVIDENCE
Selected: strongest momentum observationChart: 7D YES-token price history
Implied probability
51% 9.0pp
24h volume
$638.5K
Orrery Pulse15% current12-17% 7D range+3.5pp net move
23%18%14%10%6%
15%
May 3115%+3.5pp from start
May 30May 30May 30May 30May 30May 31May 31May 31
HIGH-EVIDENCE OBSERVATIONS
All signals 1Open
Roland Garros WTA: Elina Svitolina vs Belinda BencicTop read
24h Δ -9.0pp, 1h Δ -14.0pp · Turnover 6.2× liquidity
RESOLUTION RISK
Open watch Iran closes its airspace by May 31?UMA DISPUTED
High
High
High
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?UMA DISPUTED
High
High
High
High
High
High
High
High
High
High
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?UMA DISPUTED
High
High
Will Santos FC win on 2026-05-30?UMA PENDING
High
High
Will Mexico win on 2026-05-30?UMA PENDING
High
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?UMA DISPUTED
High
Centurion: Giles Hussey vs Edward WinterUMA PENDING
High
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
Medium
Medium
Medium
Medium
Showing 32 of 32 markets · refreshed nowHow risk is scored
RESEARCH QUEUE
Full research queue | Market | Score | Breakdown (Evidence / Liquidity / Spread / Res. Risk) | Next Step |
|---|---|---|---|
| 85 | 91/83 80/80 | Inspect timeline | |
| 75 | 71/82 70/80 | Compare siblings |
Score = weighted composite of Evidence (40%), Liquidity (25%), Spread (20%), Resolution Confidence (15%).How we score markets
DAILY BRIEFMay 31, 2026
Read full brief - Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? probability up 39.5pp on $1.0M of 24h volume.
- Roland Garros WTA: Elina Svitolina vs Belinda Bencic shows a momentum pattern at 91% evidence — verify on the market.
- LoL: JD Gaming vs Top Esports (BO5) - LPL Playoffs resolves in 3h — verify the source before treating as research.
VERIFY (2)
IGNORE (0)
- —
WATCHLIST DELTA
Watchlist sits in your browser — we don't store it server-side. Add markets you want to track, then this panel shows the since-last-visit delta for each.
Set up watchlistORRERY PRO
Prediction-market intelligence terminal
Know what moved, why it matters, what can go wrong, and what to verify next. Built for humans, teams, and AI agents.