Orrery — decision terminal for prediction markets
TOP ACTIONSWhat matters most right now.
Full opportunities Event date has passed while the market is still active upstream
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Resolves in 40h — verify the source
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Resolves in 40h — verify the source
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Event date has passed while the market is still active upstream
Verify
RESOLUTION RISK
Open watch High
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-21?UMA PENDING
High
Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?UMA PENDING
High
High
High
High
High
High
High
Epstein suicide note released by May 8?UMA DISPUTED
High
High
High
Will Getafe CF win on 2026-05-13?UMA PENDING
High
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?UMA PENDING
High
High
High
High
High
High
Deportivo Alavés vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 1.5UMA PENDING
High
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Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Texas RangersPAST EVENT
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San Diego Padres vs. Milwaukee BrewersPAST EVENT
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Kansas City Royals vs. Chicago White SoxPAST EVENT
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Chicago Cubs vs. Atlanta BravesPAST EVENT
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Detroit Tigers vs. New York MetsPAST EVENT
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Tampa Bay Rays vs. Toronto Blue JaysPAST EVENT
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Philadelphia Phillies vs. Boston Red SoxPAST EVENT
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Washington Nationals vs. Cincinnati RedsPAST EVENT
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Colorado Rockies vs. Pittsburgh PiratesPAST EVENT
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Showing 32 of 32 markets · refreshed nowHow risk is scored
RESEARCH QUEUE
Full opportunities | Market | Score | Breakdown (Evidence / Liquidity / Spread / Res. Risk) | Next Step |
|---|---|---|---|
| 81 | 68/87 98/80 | Inspect timeline | |
| 79 | 72/75 98/80 | Inspect timeline | |
| 73 | 55/91 80/80 | Inspect timeline | |
| 70 | 51/85 80/80 | Compare siblings | |
| 69 | 51/83 80/80 | Compare siblings |
Score = weighted composite of Evidence (40%), Liquidity (25%), Spread (20%), Resolution Confidence (15%).How we score markets
DAILY BRIEFMay 14, 2026
Read full brief - Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? probability down 9.0pp on $0.3M of 24h volume.
- Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026? shows a momentum pattern at 72% evidence — verify on the market.
- Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 14? resolves in 16h — verify the source before treating as research.
VERIFY (3)
IGNORE (0)
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WATCHLIST DELTA
Watchlist sits in your browser — we don't store it server-side. Add markets you want to track, then this panel shows the since-last-visit delta for each.
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