US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31?UMA DISPUTED
High
Orrery — decision terminal for prediction markets
Today
5 things to verify
4 observations · 32 resolution risks
TOP ACTIONSWhat matters most right now.
Full research queue 1Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Seattle Mariners
Event date has passed while the market is still active upstream
Verify
2Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Momentum observation
Momentum
3Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?
UMA disputed — verify before treating moves as new info
Verify
4US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?
Expired — settlement verification still pending upstream
Verify
5Philadelphia Phillies vs. Los Angeles Dodgers
Event date has passed while the market is still active upstream
Verify
MARKET PULSE
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?HIGH EVIDENCE
Selected: strongest momentum observationChart: 7D YES-token price history
Implied probability
63% 37.1pp
24h volume
$723.7K
Orrery Pulse0% current0-1% 7D range-0.5pp net move
17%13%9%4%0%
0%
May 310%-0.5pp from start
May 30May 30May 30May 30May 30May 30May 31May 31
HIGH-EVIDENCE OBSERVATIONS
All signals 1Open
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?Top read
24h Δ 37.1pp, 1h Δ 28.7pp · Turnover 2.8× liquidity
2Open
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?
24h Δ 4.5pp, 1h Δ 1.8pp · Turnover 2.4× liquidity
3Open
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?
24h Δ -3.0pp, 1h Δ -1.0pp · Turnover 1.5× liquidity
RESOLUTION RISK
Open watch High
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?UMA DISPUTED
High
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?UMA DISPUTED
High
High
High
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?UMA DISPUTED
High
Will Botafogo FR win on 2026-05-30?UMA PENDING
High
High
Iran closes its airspace by May 27?UMA DISPUTED
High
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?UMA DISPUTED
High
Will Santos FC win on 2026-05-30?UMA PENDING
High
High
High
Indiana Fever vs. PortlandFireUMA PENDING
High
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New York Yankees vs. AthleticsPAST EVENT
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New York Yankees vs. Athletics: O/U 9.5PAST EVENT
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Medium
Showing 32 of 32 markets · refreshed nowHow risk is scored
RESEARCH QUEUE
Full research queue | Market | Score | Breakdown (Evidence / Liquidity / Spread / Res. Risk) | Next Step |
|---|---|---|---|
| 91 | 95/90 94/80 | Inspect timeline | |
| 85 | 76/91 98/80 | Inspect timeline | |
| 76 | 64/91 80/80 | Inspect timeline | |
| 71 | 52/87 80/80 | Compare siblings |
Score = weighted composite of Evidence (40%), Liquidity (25%), Spread (20%), Resolution Confidence (15%).How we score markets
DAILY BRIEFMay 31, 2026
Read full brief - Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? probability up 37.1pp on $0.7M of 24h volume.
- Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? shows a momentum pattern at 95% evidence — verify on the market.
- Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? resolves in 45h — verify the source before treating as research.
VERIFY (3)
IGNORE (0)
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