Orrery — decision terminal for prediction markets
ORRERY PRO
Prediction-market intelligence terminal
Know what moved, why it matters, what can go wrong, and what to verify next. Built for humans, teams, and AI agents.
TOP ACTIONSWhat matters most right now.
Full research queue UMA disputed — verify before treating moves as new info
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MARKET PULSE
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?MIXED EVIDENCE
Selected: strongest divergence observationChart: 7D YES-token price history
Implied probability
32% 11.5pp
24h volume
$288.9K
Orrery Pulse95% current64-97% 7D range+27.9pp net move
100%75%50%25%0%
95%
May 1795%+27.9pp from start
May 12May 13May 14May 15May 15May 16May 17May 17
RESOLUTION RISK
Open watch 32 active risks in one mode
High
High
High
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-05-17?UMA PENDING
High
Will Fulham FC win on 2026-05-17?UMA PENDING
High
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-17?UMA PENDING
High
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-05-17?UMA PENDING
High
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-17?UMA PENDING
High
High
Will AS Monaco FC win on 2026-05-17?UMA PENDING
High
High
Will Cagliari Calcio win on 2026-05-17?UMA PENDING
High
High
Will Deportivo Alavés win on 2026-05-17?UMA PENDING
High
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-17?UMA PENDING
High
New York Yankees vs. New York MetsUMA PENDING
High
High
Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 15?UMA DISPUTED
High
Miami Marlins vs. Tampa Bay RaysUMA PENDING
High
Chicago Cubs vs. Chicago White SoxUMA PENDING
High
High
High
High
High
High
High
High
High
Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-05-17?UMA PENDING
High
Kansas City Royals vs. St. Louis CardinalsUMA PENDING
High
High
High
Showing 32 of 32 markets · refreshed nowHow risk is scored
RESEARCH QUEUE
Full research queue | Market | Score | Breakdown (Evidence / Liquidity / Spread / Res. Risk) | Next Step |
|---|---|---|---|
| 82 | 95/78 60/80 | Inspect timeline | |
| 68 | 50/81 80/80 | Compare siblings | |
| 68 | 50/80 80/80 | Compare siblings |
Score = weighted composite of Evidence (40%), Liquidity (25%), Spread (20%), Resolution Confidence (15%).How we score markets
DAILY BRIEFMay 17, 2026
Read full brief - Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Colorado Rockies probability up 36.5pp on $0.5M of 24h volume.
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Colorado Rockies shows a momentum pattern at 95% evidence — verify on the market.
- Iran closes its airspace by May 18? resolves in 1h — verify the source before treating as research.
VERIFY (3)
IGNORE (1)
RISK INCREASED (2)
WATCHLIST DELTA
Watchlist sits in your browser — we don't store it server-side. Add markets you want to track, then this panel shows the since-last-visit delta for each.
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