Orrery — decision terminal for prediction markets
TOP ACTIONSWhat matters most right now.
Full opportunities Resolves in 35h — verify the source
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Resolves in 35h — verify the source
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MARKET PULSE
Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral ElectionHIGH EVIDENCE
Selected: strongest momentum signalChart: 7D YES-token price history
Implied probability
22% 14.0pp
24h volume
$155.7K
Orrery Pulse100% current50-100% 7D range+50.0pp net move
100%75%50%25%0%
100%
May 14100%+50.0pp from start
May 11May 12May 12May 12May 13May 13May 13May 14
RESOLUTION RISK
Open watch Spread: Pistons (-4.5)UMA PENDING
High
High
Wild vs. AvalancheUMA PENDING
High
Will Inter Miami CF win on 2026-05-13?UMA PENDING
High
Seattle Mariners vs. Houston AstrosUMA PENDING
High
Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 210.5UMA PENDING
High
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Texas RangersUMA PENDING
High
St. Louis Cardinals vs. AthleticsUMA PENDING
High
Epstein suicide note released by May 8?UMA DISPUTED
High
Spread: Pistons (-3.5)UMA PENDING
High
High
Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 211.5UMA PENDING
High
Will Bitcoin reach $89,000 on May 13?UMA PENDING
High
High
Will Seattle Sounders FC win on 2026-05-13?UMA PENDING
High
Chicago Sky vs. Golden State ValkyriesUMA PENDING
High
High
Spread: Seattle Sounders FC (-1.5)UMA PENDING
High
Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 on May 13?UMA PENDING
High
High
Will San Jose Earthquakes win on 2026-05-13?UMA PENDING
High
Wild vs. Avalanche: O/U 6.5UMA PENDING
High
Spread: Avalanche (-1.5)UMA PENDING
High
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Indiana Fever vs. Los Angeles SparksPAST EVENT
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Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-4.5)PAST EVENT
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Medium
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?PINNED NO
Medium
Medium
Showing 32 of 32 markets · refreshed nowHow risk is scored
RESEARCH QUEUE
Full opportunities | Market | Score | Breakdown (Evidence / Liquidity / Spread / Res. Risk) | Next Step |
|---|---|---|---|
| 90 | 93/86 96/80 | Inspect timeline | |
| 86 | 93/82 80/80 | Inspect timeline | |
| 78 | 73/83 80/80 | Inspect timeline | |
| 77 | 74/76 80/80 | Inspect timeline | |
| 75 | 66/83 80/80 | Inspect timeline |
Score = weighted composite of Evidence (40%), Liquidity (25%), Spread (20%), Resolution Confidence (15%).How we score markets
DAILY BRIEFMay 14, 2026
Read full brief - Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election probability up 14.0pp on $0.2M of 24h volume.
- Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? shows a momentum pattern at 93% evidence — verify on the market.
- Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 14? resolves in 11h — verify the source before treating as research.
VERIFY (3)
IGNORE (0)
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WATCHLIST DELTA
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