Will Matt McCarty finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 Cadillac Championship?
Probability
95¢
1h
+0.7pp
24h
+37.6pp
24h Vol
$184.42
Liquidity
$558.48
Resolution & Risk
HIGH risk- End date
- May 3, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Market type
- Binary
- Market expires May 3, 2026 — dispute window active.
Probability (last 7 days)
+0.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 3 factors- 01Price move
Up 38pp over 24h
Now 95¢; +0.7pp in the last hour.
- 02Active signal
Resolution-risk signal firing
Market has reached expiry. Watch the UMA dispute window.
- 03Liquidity
Thin liquidity
Only $558 of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Resolution & Risk
HIGH risk- End date
- May 3, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Market type
- Binary
- Market expires May 3, 2026 — dispute window active.
Timeline
critical · price · trade flowCritical
- 03:51SignalLOW
Resolution risk
Market has reached expiry. Watch the UMA dispute window.
- 00:00ResolveHIGH
Market resolved 4h ago
Price movement
+37.6pp over the last 24h, now 95¢.
Biggest hourly move: +74.9pp at 01:00 (to 95¢).
Show top 8 of 46 hourly moves
- 03:51 · +63.7pp → 95¢
- 02:00 · +68.4pp → 97¢
- 01:00 · +74.9pp → 95¢
- 23:00 · +74.0pp → 94¢
- 21:00 · +72.5pp → 91¢
- 20:00 · +66.0pp → 85¢
- 18:00 · +64.5pp → 85¢
- 17:00 · +43.5pp → 64¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market. That usually means liquidity is thin or this market is between event windows.
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Market Description
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed player finishes in the top 20 at the 2026 Cadillac Championship tournament, including ties. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If final results are not announced by May 9, 2026 at 8:00PM ET this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the PGA Tour website (https://www.pgatour.com/).
Alerts
In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.