Will Scottie Scheffler finish in the Top 5 at the 2026 Cadillac Championship?
Probability
85¢
1h
+4.0pp
24h
+22.5pp
24h Vol
$244.69
Liquidity
$173.04
Resolution & Risk
HIGH risk- End date
- May 3, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Market type
- Binary
- Market expires May 3, 2026 — dispute window active.
- Wide spread (21.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Probability (last 7 days)
+0.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 3 factors- 01Price move
Up 23pp over 24h
Now 85¢; +4.0pp in the last hour.
- 02Active signal
Resolution-risk signal firing
Market has reached expiry. Watch the UMA dispute window.
- 03Spread cost
Wide spread — 21.0¢
Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Resolution & Risk
HIGH risk- End date
- May 3, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Market type
- Binary
- Market expires May 3, 2026 — dispute window active.
- Wide spread (21.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Timeline
critical · price · trade flowCritical
- 16:25SignalMEDIUM
Resolution risk
Market has reached expiry. Watch the UMA dispute window.
- 00:00ResolveHIGH
Market resolved 16h ago
Price movement
+22.5pp over the last 24h, now 85¢.
Biggest hourly move: +48.5pp at 02:00 (to 81¢).
Show top 8 of 48 hourly moves
- 16:25 · +46.5pp → 85¢
- 15:00 · +42.0pp → 80¢
- 14:00 · +38.0pp → 80¢
- 13:00 · +36.0pp → 79¢
- 10:00 · +38.5pp → 79¢
- 09:00 · +39.5pp → 80¢
- 02:00 · +48.5pp → 81¢
- 01:00 · +44.0pp → 79¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market. That usually means liquidity is thin or this market is between event windows.
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Market Description
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed player finishes in the top 5 at the 2026 Cadillac Championship tournament, including ties. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If final results are not announced by May 9, 2026 at 8:00PM ET this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the PGA Tour website (https://www.pgatour.com/).
Alerts
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