Will Benfica win Primeira Liga?
Probability
4¢
1h
+0.1pp
24h
-0.3pp
24h Vol
$0.00
Liquidity
$796.06
Probability (last 7 days)
-4.5pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 1 factor- 1
Wide spread — 4.9¢
Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.
What to track next
- Set an alert at the next ±5pp probability move so you find out before the next leg.
- Add to your watchlist — Home will show probability deltas since your last visit.
- Compare against sibling markets in the same event below — divergent pricing across related contracts is the cleanest tell.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Timeline
critical · price · trade flowCritical
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 845.5h
Price movement
-0.9pp over the last 24h, now 4¢.
Biggest hourly move: -7.2pp at 2d ago (to 1¢).
Show top 8 of 22 hourly moves
- 1d ago · +5.5pp → 6¢
- 1d ago · +5.5pp → 6¢
- 2d ago · +5.6pp → 7¢
- 2d ago · +5.6pp → 7¢
- 2d ago · +5.6pp → 7¢
- 2d ago · +5.6pp → 7¢
- 2d ago · -7.1pp → 1¢
- 2d ago · -7.2pp → 1¢
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
Related Markets
14- 2¢-0.3pp
Will Sporting CP win Primeira Liga?
Other · Vol $32.70
- 96¢-0.5pp
Will Porto win Primeira Liga?
Sports · Vol $0.00
- 0¢-24.9pp
Will Vitória de Guimarães win Primeira Liga?
Other · Vol $0.00
- 0¢-10.0pp
Will Famalicão win Primeira Liga?
Other · Vol $0.00
- 0¢-21.1pp
Will Casa Pia win Primeira Liga?
Other · Vol $0.00
- 0¢-23.9pp
Will Moreirense win Primeira Liga?
Other · Vol $0.00
- 0¢-31.9pp
Will Gil Vicente win Primeira Liga?
Other · Vol $0.00
- 0¢-1.1pp
Will Nacional win Primeira Liga?
Other · Vol $0.00
- 0¢-56.5pp
Pistons vs. Magic
Sports · Vol $5.3M
- 100¢+22.4pp
Thunder vs. Suns
Sports · Vol $4.0M
- 100¢+51.4pp
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-25?
Sports · Vol $2.5M
- 100¢+22.4pp
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-25?
Sports · Vol $2.2M
- 1¢0.0pp
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Sports · Vol $2.1M
- 54¢0.0pp
Knicks vs. Hawks
Sports · Vol $1.7M
Market Description
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed club is determined as the champion of the Primeira Liga. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed participant to be named as the champion of Primeira Liga per the rules of Primeira Liga (e.g., participant is eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to "No". If multiple teams are declared winners, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed name comes first alphabetically. If this event is cancelled, postponed after May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or a champion has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source will be official information from the Primeira Liga; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- May 31, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Primaryconsensus of credible reportingTypeNews consensusConfidenceextracted · medium
- Market type
- Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
- Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
- Wide spread (4.9¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.