SportsExpires Jun 7, 2026
Creator

Will Akshay Bhatia finish in the Top 5 at the 2026 the Memorial Tournament presented by Workday?

Probability

0¢

1h

-0.1pp

24h

-2.1pp

24h Vol

$586.49

Liquidity

$1.4K

Research loop

Inspect detail

Read the move, holders, recent trades, source, and resolution risk before saving anything.

MarketsDetailWatchlistAlertBrief

Canonical status

confidence: high

Source status (Polymarket)

active · uma=proposed

Derived status (Orrery)

UMA PENDING

Reason

Upstream UMA resolution status is 'proposed'.

Resolution is awaiting UMA confirmation. Price may move sharply when it settles.

Resolution & Risk

HIGH risk
End date
Jun 7, 2026
UMA status
proposed
Resolution source
Primary
pgatour.com
Link
pgatour.com
Type
Source not classified
Market type
Binary
  • UMA status: proposed
  • Market expires Jun 7, 2026 — dispute window active.
Share risk cardRead full market rules on Polymarket

Probability (last 7 days)

+0.0pp 7d
1007550250
0¢
Jun 1, 2026, 17:00 UTCJun 5, 2026, 23:18 UTC
updated 23:19:00 UTC·src:Polymarket CLOB·snap:snap_2026-06-05T23-19Z

Why did it move?

Structured · 3 factors
  • 01
    Price move

    Down 2pp over 24h

    Now 0¢; -0.1pp in the last hour.

  • 02
    Active signal

    Resolution-risk observation firing

    Expires in 25h. UMA dispute is active.

  • 03
    Liquidity

    Thin liquidity

    Only $1.4k of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.

What to track next

  • Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
  • Wait for the UMA proposal to settle (current status: proposed) — price moves now reflect oracle dynamics, not odds.
  • Set an alert for resolution status changes — expiry is in 25 hours.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

Verification Brief

A guided checklist for what must be proven before this market is treated as reliable context.

oracle review
Trust transition

The market is in an oracle/review state where proposal, dispute, and final settlement evidence matter more than the displayed price.

Create trust-state alert

Verification goal

Map resolution-relevant sources to the exact criteria needed to avoid misreading price as settlement.

What needs proof

Primary source

required

Confirm the primary source and whether it directly answers the market's resolution question.

Current evidence: https://www.pgatour.com/

Contract wording

required

Extract the exact condition that makes YES resolve true and note any exclusions, time zone, deadline, or fallback rule.

Settlement state

required

Check whether the market is still live, expired-unresolved, UMA pending, disputed, or officially resolved.

Current evidence: UMA pending

Telegram verification task

Orrery verification task Will Akshay Bhatia finish in the Top 5 at the 2026 the Memorial Tournament presented by Workday? State: UMA pending — oracle review Need sources for: 1. Primary source: Confirm the primary source and whether it directly answers the market's resolution question. 2. Contract wording: Extract the exact condition that makes YES resolve true and note any exclusions, time zone, deadline, or fallback rule. 3. Settlement state: Check whether the market is still live, expired-unresolved, UMA pending, disputed, or officially resolved. Drop only durable links that map to one criterion. Research only. Not trade advice.

X verification thread

Orrery verification brief Will Akshay Bhatia finish in the Top 5 at the 2026 the Memorial Tournament presented by Workday? State: oracle review Verify: Primary source + Contract wording Price is not settlement. Research only. Not trade advice.

Market link goes in reply

Guided source review

A controlled loop for durable sources. Every source must answer one criterion from this Verification Brief.

Sources

0

Criteria covered

0

Reviewed

0

Awaiting review

0

Submit a source mapped to a criterion

Confirm the primary source and whether it directly answers the market's resolution question.

Research only · no price-only screenshots · no profit claims

Recent source checks

Pilot audit summary

Research only · Not trade advice · Every source maps to one criterion

Timeline

critical · price · trade flow

Critical

  • Jun 7, 00:00 UTCScheduled resolution

    Market resolves in 24.7h

    HIGH
  • 23:19Signal

    Resolution risk

    Expires in 25h. UMA dispute is active.

    MEDIUM

Price movement

-2.1pp over the last 24h, now 0¢.

Biggest hourly move: -45.0pp at Jun 4, 05:00 UTC (to 5¢).

Show top 8 of 20 hourly moves
  • 20:00 · +13.6pp → 20¢
  • 19:00 · +14.1pp → 21¢
  • 13:00 · +14.1pp → 20¢
  • Jun 4, 19:00 UTC · +12.5pp → 19¢
  • Jun 4, 12:00 UTC · +41.0pp → 47¢
  • Jun 4, 09:00 UTC · -18.5pp → 6¢
  • Jun 4, 07:00 UTC · -44.5pp → 6¢
  • Jun 4, 05:00 UTC · -45.0pp → 5¢
updated 23:19:00 UTC·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market. That usually means liquidity is thin or this market is between event windows.

Open large-trade flowBrowse related marketsAlert me on the next trade
updated 23:19:00 UTC·src:Polymarket Data

Related Markets

14
Same eventPGA Tour: the Memorial Tournament presented by Workday Top 5
Category · Sports

Market Description

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed player finishes in the top 5 at the 2026 the Memorial Tournament presented by Workday tournament, including ties. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If final results are not announced by June 13, 2026 at 8:00PM ET this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the PGA Tour website (https://www.pgatour.com/).

Why this category?

confidence: high

Category

Sports

Source

Manual override (pattern match)

Matched term

pga tour

Reason

PGA Tour golf market — Sports.

Categories come from a deterministic engine: manual overrides (highest priority) → sports hard markers → event-tag rules → keyword rules → Gamma category hint → default. The engine is versioned in category-overrides.ts; methodology lives at /methodology.

FAQ — questions readers actually ask

What is the current Polymarket probability for "Will Akshay Bhatia finish in the Top 5 at the 2026 the Memorial Tournament presented by Workday?"?

As of Fri, 05 Jun 2026 23:19:00 GMT, YES is priced at 0% implied probability on Polymarket. The price changed -2.1pp in the last 24 hours, -0.1pp in the last hour, and +0.0pp in the last 7 days.

When does this market resolve?

This market resolves by Jun 7, 2026 (2026-06-07T00:00:00.000Z). Resolution is determined from https://www.pgatour.com/.

What source determines the outcome?

Resolution is sourced from https://www.pgatour.com/. Polymarket's UMA optimistic oracle is the final settlement layer; if the published source is ambiguous, UMA tokenholders adjudicate. Source-extraction confidence is shown in the Resolution & Risk block above.

How much is being traded on this market?

$586.49 of trading volume in the last 24 hours. Lifetime volume on Polymarket: $586.49. Open liquidity in the YES/NO orderbooks: $1.4K. Spread between best bid and best ask: 0.8¢.

Is this a trade recommendation?

No. Orrery describes — never predicts. Every signal on this market carries explicit Evidence, Backtest, and Action tiers. The Action is always one of: Watch only, Inspect timeline, Create alert, Verify source, or Ignore — never Buy or Sell. The probability above is the market's collective implied probability, not a forecast Orrery is publishing.

How fresh is this data and where does it come from?

This page revalidates from the public Polymarket APIs every 30 seconds. Probability and 24h-change come from Gamma; the chart series comes from the CLOB orderbook history; trade and holder data come from the Data API. The fetched-at timestamp on each block tells you exactly how old the underlying upstream pull was.

Alerts

¢
Deliver

In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email digests are wired to a server-side cron and continue while your tabs are closed. Telegram and Discord are planned — every existing rule will keep working as channels light up.

Top Holders

13 wallets
Open on Polymarket