AHL: Charlotte Checkers vs. Hershey Bears
Probability
23¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
-5.0pp
24h Vol
$5.26
Liquidity
$65.23
Probability (last 7 days)
-33.1pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 4 factors- 1
Down 5pp over 24h
Now 23¢; flat in the last hour.
- 2
Resolution-risk signal firing
Market has reached expiry. Watch the UMA dispute window.
- 3
Wide spread — 44.8¢
Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.
- 4
Past expiry — awaiting resolution
Market is past its end date. Any price move now is a settlement / dispute artefact, not new information.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
AI prose summary
Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 12:52SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Market has reached expiry. Watch the UMA dispute window.
- 12:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -25.0pp
to 23¢
- 11:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -24.9pp
to 23¢
- 09:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -24.9pp
to 23¢
- 08:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -24.9pp
to 23¢
- 06:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -14.4pp
to 23¢
- 05:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -14.4pp
to 23¢
- 03:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -14.4pp
to 23¢
- 00:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -27.4pp
to 23¢
- 23:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -27.4pp
to 23¢
- 21:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -22.4pp
to 28¢
- 20:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -22.4pp
to 28¢
- 18:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -22.4pp
to 28¢
- 16:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -22.0pp
to 28¢
- 14:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -22.0pp
to 28¢
- 13:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -22.0pp
to 28¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -22.0pp
to 28¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -22.0pp
to 28¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -22.0pp
to 28¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -22.0pp
to 28¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -22.1pp
to 28¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -22.1pp
to 28¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -22.1pp
to 28¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -22.1pp
to 28¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -22.1pp
to 28¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -13.4pp
to 28¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -25.3pp
to 28¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -25.3pp
to 28¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -25.3pp
to 28¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -36.6pp
to 28¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
In the upcoming AHL game, scheduled for 2026-01-25: If Charlotte Checkers win, the market will resolve to "Charlotte Checkers". If Hershey Bears win, the market will resolve to "Hershey Bears". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods and shootouts. In the event of a shootout, one goal will be added to the winning team's score for the purpose of resolution.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- Jan 25, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- https://theahl.com/stats/schedule
- Market type
- Binary
- Wide spread (44.8¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).
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