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OtherExpires Jan 25, 2026

AHL: Charlotte Checkers vs. Hershey Bears

Probability

23¢

1h

+0.0pp

24h

-5.0pp

24h Vol

$5.26

Liquidity

$65.23

Probability (last 7 days)

-33.1pp 7d
Apr 18, 2026, 15:00Apr 25, 2026, 12:52
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 4 factors
  1. 1

    Down 5pp over 24h

    Now 23¢; flat in the last hour.

  2. 2

    Resolution-risk signal firing

    Market has reached expiry. Watch the UMA dispute window.

  3. 3

    Wide spread — 44.8¢

    Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.

  4. 4

    Past expiry — awaiting resolution

    Market is past its end date. Any price move now is a settlement / dispute artefact, not new information.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

AI prose summary

 

Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.

Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves

AllTradesSignalsPrice
  • 12:52Signal

    Signal · Resolution risk

    Market has reached expiry. Watch the UMA dispute window.

    LOW
  • 12:00Price

    Probability down -25.0pp

    to 23¢

    MEDIUM
  • 11:00Price

    Probability down -24.9pp

    to 23¢

    MEDIUM
  • 09:00Price

    Probability down -24.9pp

    to 23¢

    MEDIUM
  • 08:00Price

    Probability down -24.9pp

    to 23¢

    MEDIUM
  • 06:00Price

    Probability down -14.4pp

    to 23¢

    MEDIUM
  • 05:00Price

    Probability down -14.4pp

    to 23¢

    MEDIUM
  • 03:00Price

    Probability down -14.4pp

    to 23¢

    MEDIUM
  • 00:00Price

    Probability down -27.4pp

    to 23¢

    MEDIUM
  • 23:00Price

    Probability down -27.4pp

    to 23¢

    MEDIUM
  • 21:00Price

    Probability down -22.4pp

    to 28¢

    MEDIUM
  • 20:00Price

    Probability down -22.4pp

    to 28¢

    MEDIUM
  • 18:00Price

    Probability down -22.4pp

    to 28¢

    MEDIUM
  • 16:00Price

    Probability down -22.0pp

    to 28¢

    MEDIUM
  • 14:00Price

    Probability down -22.0pp

    to 28¢

    MEDIUM
  • 13:00Price

    Probability down -22.0pp

    to 28¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability down -22.0pp

    to 28¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability down -22.0pp

    to 28¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability down -22.0pp

    to 28¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability down -22.0pp

    to 28¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability down -22.1pp

    to 28¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability down -22.1pp

    to 28¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability down -22.1pp

    to 28¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability down -22.1pp

    to 28¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -22.1pp

    to 28¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -13.4pp

    to 28¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -25.3pp

    to 28¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -25.3pp

    to 28¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -25.3pp

    to 28¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -36.6pp

    to 28¢

    MEDIUM
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Market Description

In the upcoming AHL game, scheduled for 2026-01-25: If Charlotte Checkers win, the market will resolve to "Charlotte Checkers". If Hershey Bears win, the market will resolve to "Hershey Bears". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods and shootouts. In the event of a shootout, one goal will be added to the winning team's score for the purpose of resolution.

Resolution & Risk

LOW risk
End date
Jan 25, 2026
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
https://theahl.com/stats/schedule
Market type
Binary
  • Wide spread (44.8¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

¢
Deliver

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