Complex-Drama
0x018434086078407ecea0518f8a14a6296efb23f6
Wallet digest
Activity score
82/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
51
Open notional
$481.79
Total PnL
$-2.3K
Realised
$220.27
Win rate
67%
15 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 51- HERSHEY BEARS
AHL: Charlotte Checkers vs. Hershey Bears
354 shares @ 77.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2026$354.00
$81.42
- NO
Will Luka Doncic win the 2025–2026 NBA Clutch Player of the Year?
55 shares @ 94.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$55.00
$3.08
- NO
Will Bernie endorse Dan Osborn for NE-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET?
51 shares @ 97.8¢·now 55.1¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$28.10
$-21.78
- YES
Will MetaMask launch a token by September 30, 2026?
487 shares @ 18.0¢·now 5.0¢·exp Oct 1, 2026$24.35
$-63.31
- YES
Will North West release an album by December 31?
7 shares @ 34.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$6.94
$4.58
- NO
Will Bernie endorse Zach Wahls for IA-Sen Nov 2 2026 ET?
8 shares @ 85.0¢·now 75.5¢·exp Nov 30, 2026$6.04
$-0.76
- YES
Israel x Syria security agreement by June 30?
74 shares @ 25.0¢·now 4.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$3.00
$-15.50
- YES
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?
3 shares @ 71.0¢·now 71.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$2.13
$0.00
- NO
Will the Republicans win the Minnesota governor race in 2026?
2 shares @ 80.0¢·now 95.8¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$1.92
$0.32
- YES
New pandemic in 2026?
2 shares @ 13.0¢·now 10.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.21
$-0.05
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Ukraine re-enter Uspenivka by May 31?$931.84Apr 27, 08:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?$188.37Apr 27, 08:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?$521.43Apr 27, 08:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?$564.20Apr 27, 08:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?$1.0KApr 27, 08:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ukraine re-enter Uspenivka by May 31?$757.76Apr 23, 15:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?$1.8KApr 23, 13:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill Solstice launch a token by March 31 2026?$4.00Apr 15, 08:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 55% and 60%?$30.00Apr 15, 08:09 UTC
- REDEEMAnother crypto hack over $100m before 2027?$147.00Apr 15, 08:09 UTC
- REDEEMUNCW Seahawks vs. Charleston Cougars$207.00Apr 15, 08:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill Hezbollah disarm by March 31?$1.0KApr 15, 08:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill XRP dip to $1.20 in March?$1.5KApr 15, 08:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill global temperature increase by between 1.25ºC and 1.29ºC in April 2026?$101.40Apr 13, 04:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bulgaria advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?$73.87Apr 12, 22:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill MetaMask launch a token by December 31, 2026?$167.96Apr 12, 20:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill MetaMask launch a token by December 31, 2026?$64.00Apr 11, 23:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill MetaMask launch a token by December 31, 2026?$422.40Apr 11, 23:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill MetaMask launch a token by December 31, 2026?$5.12Apr 11, 23:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill MetaMask launch a token by December 31, 2026?$9.28Apr 11, 23:23 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $207.29
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 8, 14:46 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 27, 08:51 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 15 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.