Francisco Cerundolo vs. Luciano Darderi: Total Sets O/U 2.5
Probability
41¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
+0.0pp
24h Vol
$0.00
Liquidity
$595.92
Probability (last 7 days)
+0.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 1 factor- 1
Wide spread — 6.0¢
Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.
What to track next
- Set an alert at the next ±5pp probability move so you find out before the next leg.
- Add to your watchlist — Home will show probability deltas since your last visit.
- Compare against sibling markets in the same event below — divergent pricing across related contracts is the cleanest tell.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Timeline
critical · price · trade flowCritical
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 200.4h
Price movement
-26.5pp over the last 24h, now 41¢.
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
Related Markets
14- 67¢0.0pp
Madrid Open: Francisco Cerundolo vs Luciano Darderi
Sports · Vol $327.20
- 61¢0.0pp
Set 1 Winner: Cerundolo vs Darderi
Other · Vol $0.00
- 41¢0.0pp
Set Handicap: Cerundolo (-1.5) vs Darderi (+1.5)
Other · Vol $0.00
- 77¢0.0pp
Cerundolo vs. Darderi: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5
Other · Vol $0.00
- 56¢0.0pp
Cerundolo vs. Darderi: Match O/U 21.5
Other · Vol $0.00
- 51¢0.0pp
Cerundolo vs. Darderi: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5
Other · Vol $0.00
- 51¢0.0pp
Cerundolo vs. Darderi: Match O/U 22.5
Other · Vol $10.00
- 27¢0.0pp
Cerundolo vs. Darderi: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5
Other · Vol $0.00
Market Description
This market refers to the tennis match between Francisco Cerundolo and Luciano Darderi in the Madrid Open, originally scheduled for April 27, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of sets completed equals or exceeds 3. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under." A super tie breaker is considered as one (1) set for total set markets. If the match begins but is not completed, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins or delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a result, this market will also resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official ATP statistics.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- May 4, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Primary
- Market type
- Binary
- Wide spread (6.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
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Top Holders
No holder data from the Data API.