SportsExpires May 3, 2026

Griekspoor vs. Musetti: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5

Probability

33¢

1h

+0.0pp

24h

-1.0pp

24h Vol

$0.00

Liquidity

$1.3K

Probability (last 7 days)

+0.0pp 7d
Apr 24, 2026, 18:00Apr 25, 2026, 18:44
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 2 factors
  1. 1

    Down 1pp over 24h

    Now 33¢; flat in the last hour.

  2. 2

    Thin liquidity

    Only $1.3k of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.

What to track next

  • Set an alert at the next ±5pp probability move so you find out before the next leg.
  • Add to your watchlist — Home will show probability deltas since your last visit.
  • Compare against sibling markets in the same event below — divergent pricing across related contracts is the cleanest tell.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

Timeline

critical · price · trade flow

Critical

  • 0s agoResolve

    Market resolves in 182.3h

    LOW

Price movement

-1.0pp over the last 24h, now 33¢.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Related Markets

14
Same eventMadrid Open: Tallon Griekspoor vs Lorenzo Musetti
Category · Sports

Market Description

This market refers to the tennis match between Tallon Griekspoor and Lorenzo Musetti in the Madrid Open, originally scheduled for April 26, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed in the first set equals or exceeds 11. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under." Any first-set tiebreak counts as one (1) game toward the total. If the first set is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins, or delayed beyond 7 days without commencement, this market will also resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official ATP results.

Resolution & Risk

LOW risk
End date
May 3, 2026
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
official ATP resultOfficial sports result
atptour.com
Market type
Binary
  • No obvious resolution-risk signals in metadata.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

¢
Deliver

In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.

Top Holders

No holder data from the Data API.

Open on Polymarket