Chiba Jets vs. Hiroshima Dragonflies
Probability
76¢
1h
-2.5pp
24h
+4.5pp
24h Vol
$12.83
Liquidity
$393.56
Probability (last 7 days)
+0.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 3 factors- 1
Up 5pp over 24h
Now 76¢; -2.5pp in the last hour.
- 2
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 181h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 3
Wide spread — 11.0¢
Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
AI prose summary
Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 180.8h
- 16:15SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 181h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 16:15PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 23.0pp
to 76¢
- 15:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 27.5pp
to 78¢
- 14:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 25.0pp
to 76¢
- 12:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 25.5pp
to 76¢
- 11:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 10.5pp
to 61¢
- 09:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -6.0pp
to 45¢
- 08:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 6.5pp
to 57¢
- 06:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.5pp
to 54¢
- 05:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 14.0pp
to 65¢
- 03:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 14.0pp
to 65¢
- 00:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 12.0pp
to 63¢
- 22:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.5pp
to 54¢
- 21:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 14.0pp
to 65¢
- 20:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 12.0pp
to 63¢
- 18:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 18.5pp
to 70¢
- 17:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 11.0pp
to 62¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 19.5pp
to 70¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 7.0pp
to 57¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.0pp
to 55¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 14.0pp
to 65¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 17.0pp
to 68¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 10.0pp
to 61¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.5pp
to 55¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 13.0pp
to 65¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 11.5pp
to 64¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 9.5pp
to 62¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 10.0pp
to 62¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 12.0pp
to 64¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
In the upcoming Japan B League game, scheduled for April 26 at 1:05AM ET: If the Chiba Jets win, the market will resolve to "Chiba Jets". If the Hiroshima Dragonflies win, the market will resolve to "Hiroshima Dragonflies". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- May 3, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- https://www.bleague.jp/en/
- Market type
- Binary
- Wide spread (11.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).