Spread: TSG 1899 Hoffenheim (-2.5)
Probability
11¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
+1.5pp
24h Vol
$5.00
Liquidity
$4.1K
Probability (last 7 days)
+1.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 2 factors- 1
Up 2pp over 24h
Now 11¢; flat in the last hour.
- 2
Thin liquidity
Only $4.1k of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.
What to track next
- Set an alert at the next ±5pp probability move so you find out before the next leg.
- Add to your watchlist — Home will show probability deltas since your last visit.
- Compare against sibling markets in the same event below — divergent pricing across related contracts is the cleanest tell.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Timeline
critical · price · trade flowCritical
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 113.9h
Price movement
+1.5pp over the last 24h, now 11¢.
Biggest hourly move: -6.0pp at 4d ago (to 9¢).
Show top 8 of 13 hourly moves
- 2d ago · -4.5pp → 9¢
- 3d ago · -5.0pp → 9¢
- 3d ago · -5.0pp → 9¢
- 3d ago · -5.5pp → 9¢
- 3d ago · -5.5pp → 9¢
- 3d ago · -5.5pp → 9¢
- 4d ago · -6.0pp → 9¢
- 4d ago · -5.5pp → 9¢
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
Related Markets
14- 21¢0.0pp
Spread: TSG 1899 Hoffenheim (-1.5)
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Spread: VfB Stuttgart (-2.5)
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- 89¢-1.0pp
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs. VfB Stuttgart: O/U 1.5
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- 70¢-0.5pp
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs. VfB Stuttgart: O/U 2.5
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TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs. VfB Stuttgart: O/U 4.5
Other · Vol $0.00
- 70¢-1.0pp
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs. VfB Stuttgart: Both Teams to Score
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Market Description
In the upcoming Bundesliga game, scheduled for May 2 at 9:30 AM ET: This market will resolve to "TSG 1899 Hoffenheim" if TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win the game by 3 or more goals. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "VfB Stuttgart". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50. This market will resolve according to the official final score published on bundesliga.com. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- May 2, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Market type
- Binary
- No obvious resolution-risk signals in metadata.
Alerts
In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.