SportsMulti-outcomeExpires May 4, 2026

Indian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Royal Challengers Bengaluru - Toss Match Double Delhi Capitals Winner

Probability

50¢

1h

+0.0pp

24h

+8.0pp

24h Vol

$0.00

Liquidity

$21.96

Probability (last 7 days)

+0.0pp 7d
Apr 20, 2026, 20:00Apr 25, 2026, 23:24
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 3 factors
  • 1

    Up 8pp over 24h

    Now 50¢; flat in the last hour.

  • 2

    Resolution-risk signal firing

    Expires in 203h with open resolution ambiguity.

  • 3

    Wide spread — 83.0¢

    Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.

What to track next

  • Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

Timeline

critical · price · trade flow

Critical

  • 0s agoResolve

    Market resolves in 202.6h

    LOW
  • 23:25Signal

    Resolution risk

    Expires in 203h with open resolution ambiguity.

    LOW

Price movement

+8.0pp over the last 24h, now 50¢.

Biggest hourly move: -16.0pp at 2d ago (to 42¢).

Show top 8 of 28 hourly moves
  • 12:00 · -10.5pp → 41¢
  • 11:00 · -9.5pp → 42¢
  • 09:00 · -10.0pp → 42¢
  • 08:00 · -10.0pp → 42¢
  • 1d ago · -10.0pp → 41¢
  • 2d ago · -16.0pp → 42¢
  • 2d ago · -10.5pp → 42¢
  • 2d ago · -13.0pp → 41¢
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Market Description

This market refers to the combination of the pre-match coin toss and the final match result for the cricket match between Delhi Capitals and Royal Challengers Bengaluru scheduled for 2026-04-27 in Indian Premier League. This market resolves according to (1) the official toss result and (2) the finalized match result as published by https://www.espncricinfo.com/. The outcome corresponding to Delhi Capitals will be considered correct if Delhi Capitals is officially recorded as winning both the toss and the match. The outcome corresponding to Royal Challengers Bengaluru will be considered correct if Royal Challengers Bengaluru is officially recorded as winning both the toss and the match. In all other cases - including where the toss and match winners differ, or where no match winner is recorded - the market will resolve to Neither. DLS/DRS adjustments, over-rate penalties, forfeit/walkover, Super Over, or any other on-field ruling that leads the competition to declare a match winner are treated as ordinary wins. If the match ends tied and the playing conditions provide an on-field tiebreak (e.g., Super Over), the tiebreak winner will be considered the match winner for this market. If the match ends tied with no tiebreak used or available, no team will be considered to have won the match and the market will resolve to Neither. If the match is permanently canceled, abandoned, or otherwise completed without an official match winner being declared, the market will resolve to Neither. If the match is postponed or rescheduled, the market remains open until the listed fixture is completed and will then resolve as described above.

Resolution & Risk

LOW risk
End date
May 4, 2026
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
Primary
espncricinfo.com
Type
Official sports result
Confidence
extracted · high
Market type
Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
  • Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
  • Wide spread (83.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

¢
Deliver

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