SportsExpires Apr 25, 2026

Counter-Strike: ARCRED vs LPH Gaming - Map 2 Winner

Probability

1h

+0.0pp

24h

+0.0pp

24h Vol

$386.42

Liquidity

$1.7K

Probability (last 7 days)

+0.0pp 7d
Apr 25, 2026, 06:00Apr 25, 2026, 17:39
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 3 factors
  1. 1

    Resolution-risk signal firing

    Expires in 2h with open resolution ambiguity.

  2. 2

    Thin liquidity

    Only $1.7k of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.

  3. 3

    Expiry in 2h

    Market resolves within 72 hours — the move likely reflects information about the resolution event itself rather than longer-horizon repricing. Verify the resolution source.

What to track next

  • Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
  • Set an alert for resolution status changes — expiry is in 2 hours.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

Timeline

critical · price · trade flow

Critical

  • 20:00Resolve

    Market resolves in 2.3h

    HIGH
  • 17:39Signal

    Resolution risk

    Expires in 2h with open resolution ambiguity.

    LOW

Price movement

-50.0pp over the last 24h, now 1¢.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Market Description

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Quarterfinal 3 match between ARCRED and LPH Gaming in the Exort Series Playoffs, initially scheduled for April 25 at 8:30AM ET. This market will resolve to "ARCRED" if ARCRED win Map 2 against LPH Gaming. This market will resolve to "LPH Gaming" if LPH Gaming win Map 2 against ARCRED. If the match begins but is not completed, and Map 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Map 2. If Map 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Resolution & Risk

HIGH risk
End date
Apr 25, 2026
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
consensus of credible reportingNews consensus
hltv.org
Market type
Binary
  • Market expires Apr 25, 2026 — dispute window active.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

¢
Deliver

In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.