Counter-Strike: Imperial vs Fake do Biru - Map 1 Winner
Probability
60¢
1h
-1.5pp
24h
-14.5pp
24h Vol
$366.66
Liquidity
$944.07
Resolution & Risk
HIGH risk- End date
- May 1, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Market type
- Binary
- Market expires May 1, 2026 — dispute window active.
- Wide spread (67.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Probability (last 7 days)
+0.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 4 factors- 01Price move
Down 14pp over 24h
Now 60¢; -1.5pp in the last hour.
- 02Active signal
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 38h. Spread is extremely wide.
- 03Spread cost
Wide spread — 67.0¢
Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.
- 04Resolution proximity
Expiry in 38h
Market resolves within 72 hours — the move likely reflects information about the resolution event itself rather than longer-horizon repricing. Verify the resolution source.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
- Set an alert for resolution status changes — expiry is in 38 hours.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Timeline
critical · price · trade flowCritical
- 0s agoResolveHIGH
Market resolves in 38.0h
- 09:01SignalMEDIUM
Resolution risk
Expires in 38h. Spread is extremely wide.
Price movement
-14.5pp over the last 24h, now 60¢.
Biggest hourly move: +22.0pp at 02:00 (to 72¢).
Show 3 hourly moves
- 05:00 · +11.5pp → 73¢
- 03:00 · +10.5pp → 61¢
- 02:00 · +22.0pp → 72¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market. That usually means liquidity is thin or this market is between event windows.
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Market Description
This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 4 match between Imperial and Fake do Biru in the Odyssey Cup Brazil Group Stage, initially scheduled for May 1 at 3:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Imperial" if Imperial win Map 1 against Fake do Biru. This market will resolve to "Fake do Biru" if Fake do Biru win Map 1 against Imperial. If the match begins but is not completed, and Map 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Map 1. If Map 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
Resolution & Risk
HIGH risk- End date
- May 1, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Market type
- Binary
- Market expires May 1, 2026 — dispute window active.
- Wide spread (67.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.