Counter-Strike: Ursa vs Walczaki - Map 1 Winner
Probability
0¢
1h
-0.5pp
24h
-50.4pp
24h Vol
$12.2K
Liquidity
$35.9K
Probability (last 7 days)
+0.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 5 factors- 1
Down 50pp over 24h
Now 0¢; -0.5pp in the last hour.
- 2
Momentum signal firing
Probability moved down 50.4pp in 24h with 0.3× liquidity turnover and a tight spread.
- 3
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 4h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 4
Expiry in 4h
Market resolves within 72 hours — the move likely reflects information about the resolution event itself rather than longer-horizon repricing. Verify the resolution source.
- 5
UMA status: proposed
An open UMA dispute or pending oracle vote can move price independently of underlying odds. Wait for settlement before treating the line as the market view.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
- Wait for the UMA proposal to settle (current status: proposed) — price moves now reflect oracle dynamics, not odds.
- Set an alert for resolution status changes — expiry is in 4 hours.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Timeline
critical · price · trade flowCritical
- 17:00ResolveHIGH
Market resolves in 4.2h
- 12:47SignalHIGH
Momentum down
Probability moved down 50.4pp in 24h with 0.3× liquidity turnover and a tight spread.
- 12:47SignalMEDIUM
Resolution risk
Expires in 4h with open resolution ambiguity.
Price movement
-50.5pp over the last 24h, now 0¢.
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market refers to the Counter-Strike Quarterfinal 3 match between Ursa and Walczaki in the NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffs, initially scheduled for April 26 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Ursa" if Ursa win Map 1 against Walczaki. This market will resolve to "Walczaki" if Walczaki win Map 1 against Ursa. If the match begins but is not completed, and Map 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Map 1. If Map 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
Resolution & Risk
HIGH risk- End date
- Apr 26, 2026
- UMA status
- proposed
- Resolution source
- Market type
- Binary
- UMA status: proposed
- Market expires Apr 26, 2026 — dispute window active.
Alerts
In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.