Confused-Fee
0x78bda2ce719e39a50f6196b78a4855ca099d40b2
Wallet digest
Activity score
49/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-16.30
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from April 24 to May 1, 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 30?
1000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $102,000 on November 16?
550 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 16, 2025$0.00
$-1.10
- YES
Will the US next strike Iran on February 14, 2026 (ET)?
333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from December 12 to December 19, 2025?
23 shares @ 29.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 19, 2025$0.00
$-7.00
- YES
Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by December 31?
4 shares @ 24.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?
4 shares @ 62.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.20
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 1040-1079 tweets in May 2026?$23.02Jun 1, 13:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$1.00Jun 1, 02:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 30?$90.09May 30, 18:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$1.00May 30, 08:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 30?$90.01May 30, 03:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 30?$2.14May 30, 03:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 1040-1079 tweets in May 2026?$23.00May 30, 03:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 28?$115.12May 28, 18:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 28?$115.01May 28, 09:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 14?$115.11May 14, 19:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 14?$115.01May 13, 10:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 9?$115.11May 9, 23:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 9?$115.01May 8, 12:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 2?$17.02May 2, 19:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from April 30 to May 2, 2026?$98.10May 2, 19:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 2?$17.00May 1, 07:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from April 24 to May 1, 2026?$2.10May 1, 06:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from April 30 to May 2, 2026?$98.00May 1, 06:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on April 30?$117.12Apr 30, 20:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on April 30?$117.01Apr 30, 09:33 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 27
- Avg trade size
- $69.01
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 3, 02:48 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 1, 13:17 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.