Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from May 1 to May 8, 2026?
Probability
7¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
+0.0pp
24h Vol
$10.40
Liquidity
$168.16
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- May 8, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- PrimaryPolymarket Post Counter (tracker)TypeTracker / counterConfidenceextracted · high
- Market type
- Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
- Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
Probability (last 7 days)
+0.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 1 factor- 01Liquidity
Thin liquidity
Only $168 of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.
What to track next
- Set an alert at the next ±5pp probability move so you find out before the next leg.
- Add to your watchlist — Home will show probability deltas since your last visit.
- Compare against sibling markets in the same event below — divergent pricing across related contracts is the cleanest tell.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Timeline
critical · price · trade flowCritical
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 201.5h
Price movement
+0.0pp over the last 24h, now 7¢.
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market. That usually means liquidity is thin or this market is between event windows.
Related Markets
14- 4¢+0.1pp
Will Donald Trump post 20-39 Truth Social posts from May 1 to May 8, 2026?
Politics · Vol $42.28
- 8¢-33.0pp
Will Donald Trump post 60-79 Truth Social posts from May 1 to May 8, 2026?
Politics · Vol $18.19
- 36¢-5.0pp
Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from May 1 to May 8, 2026?
Politics · Vol $10.40
- 31¢+29.9pp
Will Donald Trump post 40-59 Truth Social posts from May 1 to May 8, 2026?
Politics · Vol $25.41
- 12¢-32.5pp
Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from May 1 to May 8, 2026?
Politics · Vol $5.99
- 13¢-31.5pp
Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from May 1 to May 8, 2026?
Politics · Vol $8.00
- 27¢-17.0pp
Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from May 1 to May 8, 2026?
Politics · Vol $10.40
- 8¢-33.5pp
Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from May 1 to May 8, 2026?
Politics · Vol $1.44
- 1¢-0.2pp
Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Politics · Vol $511.0K
- 0¢-0.1pp
Will Aldo Rebelo win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Politics · Vol $342.7K
- 1¢+0.3pp
Will Elise Stefanik win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Politics · Vol $339.0K
- 100¢+25.8pp
Will Trump talk to Ursula von der Leyen in April?
Politics · Vol $292.6K
- 1¢0.0pp
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Politics · Vol $275.0K
- 14¢-2.0pp
Trump out as President before 2027?
Politics · Vol $256.6K
Market Description
This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between May 1, 12:00 PM ET and May 8, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- May 8, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- PrimaryPolymarket Post Counter (tracker)TypeTracker / counterConfidenceextracted · high
- Market type
- Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
- Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
Alerts
In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.