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OtherExpires May 6, 2026

DoorDash total orders above 980M in Q1?

Probability

44¢

1h

+0.0pp

24h

+2.4pp

24h Vol

$0.00

Liquidity

$27.03

Probability (last 7 days)

+0.3pp 7d
Apr 18, 2026, 17:00Apr 25, 2026, 16:02
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 3 factors
  1. 1

    Up 2pp over 24h

    Now 44¢; flat in the last hour.

  2. 2

    Resolution-risk signal firing

    Expires in 248h with open resolution ambiguity.

  3. 3

    Wide spread — 70.5¢

    Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.

What to track next

  • Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

AI prose summary

 

Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.

Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves

AllTradesSignalsPrice
  • 0s agoResolve

    Market resolves in 248.0h

    LOW
  • 16:02Signal

    Signal · Resolution risk

    Expires in 248h with open resolution ambiguity.

    LOW
  • 16:00Price

    Probability up 25.8pp

    to 44¢

    MEDIUM
  • 15:00Price

    Probability up 28.2pp

    to 44¢

    MEDIUM
  • 13:00Price

    Probability up 14.0pp

    to 41¢

    MEDIUM
  • 12:00Price

    Probability up 14.0pp

    to 41¢

    MEDIUM
  • 10:00Price

    Probability up 24.8pp

    to 44¢

    MEDIUM
  • 09:00Price

    Probability up 33.3pp

    to 44¢

    MEDIUM
  • 08:00Price

    Probability up 35.1pp

    to 44¢

    MEDIUM
  • 06:00Price

    Probability up 29.0pp

    to 41¢

    MEDIUM
  • 05:00Price

    Probability up 20.3pp

    to 42¢

    MEDIUM
  • 03:00Price

    Probability up 16.6pp

    to 44¢

    MEDIUM
  • 02:00Price

    Probability up 16.6pp

    to 44¢

    MEDIUM
  • 00:00Price

    Probability up 13.7pp

    to 41¢

    MEDIUM
  • 22:00Price

    Probability up 19.2pp

    to 41¢

    MEDIUM
  • 20:00Price

    Probability up 13.6pp

    to 41¢

    MEDIUM
  • 18:00Price

    Probability up 16.2pp

    to 44¢

    MEDIUM
  • 17:00Price

    Probability up 16.3pp

    to 43¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 14.5pp

    to 42¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 14.7pp

    to 41¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 13.5pp

    to 42¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 14.2pp

    to 42¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 15.3pp

    to 42¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 17.4pp

    to 41¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 21.1pp

    to 42¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 13.6pp

    to 41¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 19.1pp

    to 41¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 18.7pp

    to 42¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 18.9pp

    to 42¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 18.0pp

    to 42¢

    MEDIUM
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Market Description

This market will resolve to “Yes” if DoorDash’s total number of orders (typically labeled “total orders”) for the first fiscal quarter of 2026, as reported in its official company earnings materials, is above the listed amount. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The specified metric will be considered as reported in the company’s official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered. If the specified company’s official earnings materials for the specified quarter are released and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to “No”. If the specified company does not release quarterly earnings materials for the specified quarter by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. If the specified metric is reported as a range rather than a specific number, the midpoint of the range will be used for resolution of this market. The resolution source for this market is DoorDash’s official company earnings materials, including press releases, investor presentations, and regulatory filings. If the specified metric is not reported in these materials, recordings or transcripts of the company’s earnings webcast may also be used. Note: This market will resolve based on the most numerically precise version of the specified metric reported in the company’s official earnings materials. Only the specified metric will be considered; alternate versions that differ in definition or scope from the specified metric will not be considered.

Resolution & Risk

MEDIUM risk
End date
May 6, 2026
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
Not specified in metadata
Market type
Binary
  • No primary resolution source listed — read the full market rules before acting.
  • Wide spread (70.5¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

¢
Deliver

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