DoorDash total orders above 980M in Q1?
Probability
44¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
+2.4pp
24h Vol
$0.00
Liquidity
$27.03
Probability (last 7 days)
+0.3pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 3 factors- 1
Up 2pp over 24h
Now 44¢; flat in the last hour.
- 2
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 248h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 3
Wide spread — 70.5¢
Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
AI prose summary
Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 248.0h
- 16:02SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 248h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 16:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 25.8pp
to 44¢
- 15:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 28.2pp
to 44¢
- 13:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 14.0pp
to 41¢
- 12:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 14.0pp
to 41¢
- 10:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 24.8pp
to 44¢
- 09:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 33.3pp
to 44¢
- 08:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 35.1pp
to 44¢
- 06:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 29.0pp
to 41¢
- 05:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 20.3pp
to 42¢
- 03:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 16.6pp
to 44¢
- 02:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 16.6pp
to 44¢
- 00:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 13.7pp
to 41¢
- 22:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 19.2pp
to 41¢
- 20:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 13.6pp
to 41¢
- 18:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 16.2pp
to 44¢
- 17:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 16.3pp
to 43¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 14.5pp
to 42¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 14.7pp
to 41¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 13.5pp
to 42¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 14.2pp
to 42¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 15.3pp
to 42¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 17.4pp
to 41¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 21.1pp
to 42¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 13.6pp
to 41¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 19.1pp
to 41¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 18.7pp
to 42¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 18.9pp
to 42¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 18.0pp
to 42¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market will resolve to “Yes” if DoorDash’s total number of orders (typically labeled “total orders”) for the first fiscal quarter of 2026, as reported in its official company earnings materials, is above the listed amount. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The specified metric will be considered as reported in the company’s official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered. If the specified company’s official earnings materials for the specified quarter are released and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to “No”. If the specified company does not release quarterly earnings materials for the specified quarter by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. If the specified metric is reported as a range rather than a specific number, the midpoint of the range will be used for resolution of this market. The resolution source for this market is DoorDash’s official company earnings materials, including press releases, investor presentations, and regulatory filings. If the specified metric is not reported in these materials, recordings or transcripts of the company’s earnings webcast may also be used. Note: This market will resolve based on the most numerically precise version of the specified metric reported in the company’s official earnings materials. Only the specified metric will be considered; alternate versions that differ in definition or scope from the specified metric will not be considered.
Resolution & Risk
MEDIUM risk- End date
- May 6, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Not specified in metadata
- Market type
- Binary
- No primary resolution source listed — read the full market rules before acting.
- Wide spread (70.5¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
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