SportsExpires Apr 28, 2026

First Blood in Game 1?

Probability

51¢

1h

+0.0pp

24h

+0.0pp

24h Vol

$0.00

Liquidity

$58.22

Probability (last 7 days)

+0.0pp 7d
Apr 27, 2026, 04:00Apr 27, 2026, 20:16
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 3 factors
  • 01
    Active signal

    Resolution-risk signal firing

    Expires in 22h with open resolution ambiguity.

  • 02
    Spread cost

    Wide spread — 91.0¢

    Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.

  • 03
    Resolution proximity

    Expiry in 22h

    Market resolves within 72 hours — the move likely reflects information about the resolution event itself rather than longer-horizon repricing. Verify the resolution source.

What to track next

  • Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
  • Set an alert for resolution status changes — expiry is in 22 hours.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

Timeline

critical · price · trade flow

Critical

  • 18:30Resolve

    Market resolves in 22.2h

    HIGH
  • 20:16Signal

    Resolution risk

    Expires in 22h with open resolution ambiguity.

    MEDIUM

Price movement

+0.5pp over the last 24h, now 51¢.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Market Description

In the upcoming Lower bracket round 2 match between Team Lynx and South America Rejects in the DreamLeague Division 2 Playoffs, initially scheduled for April 28 at 8:30AM ET: This market will resolve to the team that secures the first blood in Game 1. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 1 begins but is not completed, this market will resolve to whichever team secured the first blood prior to stoppage. If the first blood did not occur, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 1 is never played due to forfeit, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 1 is remade, this market will resolve to whichever team secured the first blood prior to the remake. If the first blood did not occur prior to the remake, resolution will be based on the remade game. If Game 1 is completed but first blood never occurred, this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Resolution & Risk

HIGH risk
End date
Apr 28, 2026
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
Primary
consensus of credible reporting
Type
News consensus
Market type
Binary
  • Market expires Apr 28, 2026 — dispute window active.
  • Wide spread (91.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

¢
Deliver

In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.

Top Holders

No holder data from the Data API.