Unwritten-Suite
0x51ec7ad62f3e44e15fbbcb947ec81bc6f68805fd
Wallet digest
Activity score
94/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
117
Open notional
$3.9K
Total PnL
$-792.72
Realised
$397.83
Win rate
88%
26 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 117- NO
Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch?
500 shares @ 72.3¢·now 74.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$370.00
$8.30
- NO
Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch?
350 shares @ 80.6¢·now 71.4¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$249.90
$-32.35
- NO
StandX FDV above $400M one day after launch?
350 shares @ 67.1¢·now 67.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$234.25
$-0.48
- NO
Ventuals FDV above $500M one day after launch?
192 shares @ 95.8¢·now 97.7¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$187.62
$3.67
- NO
Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch?
313 shares @ 69.2¢·now 57.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$178.45
$-38.15
- YES
Base FDV above $4B one day after launch?
346 shares @ 43.2¢·now 40.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$139.97
$-9.46
- NO
Dreamcash FDV above $100M one day after launch?
229 shares @ 42.4¢·now 59.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$135.25
$37.97
- NO
Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch?
179 shares @ 76.9¢·now 69.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$123.46
$-14.14
- NO
Ink FDV above $2B one day after launch?
120 shares @ 83.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$108.60
$9.00
- NO
Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?
403 shares @ 64.1¢·now 26.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$106.79
$-151.66
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Squid launch a token by August 31, 2026?$6.60Jul 28, 19:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hyperbeat launch a token by December 31, 2026?$22.89Jul 28, 18:36 UTC
- TRADESELLExtended FDV above $300M one day after launch?$39.13Jul 28, 18:24 UTC
- TRADESELLDreamcash FDV above $50M one day after launch?$28.99Jul 28, 12:48 UTC
- TRADESELLInk FDV above $1B one day after launch?$161.10Jul 28, 12:42 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 28, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYPredict.fun FDV above $800M one day after launch?$20.80Jul 27, 13:38 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 27, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Squid launch a token by September 30, 2026?$7.75Jul 26, 15:54 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 26, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Extended launch a token by September 30 2026?$9.02Jul 25, 19:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Squid launch a token by July 31, 2026?$36.25Jul 25, 18:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Extended launch a token by September 30 2026?$12.42Jul 25, 18:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Extended launch a token by September 30 2026?$13.93Jul 25, 18:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYPredict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch?$22.81Jul 25, 18:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYPredict.fun FDV above $800M one day after launch?$18.65Jul 25, 18:34 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 25, 00:13 UTC
- TRADESELLLedger IPO closing market cap above $3B?$0.27Jul 24, 16:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYExtended FDV above $500M one day after launch?$28.00Jul 24, 04:30 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 24, 00:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
54/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
88% win rate over 26 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
36 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 34/100.
26 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $25.95
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 16, 08:54 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 28, 19:41 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 26 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.